Analytics
Yes is at 5.3%, down 8.7 points from 14% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 345 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 26 Oct 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 38.5% on 30 Apr 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 30 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.5%; a month before, 3.3%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 38.5% on 30 Apr 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?”.
$27.91K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $15.37K, with a 2.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $506.06 bought Yes and $7.96K bought No.
The largest Yes position is RememberAmalek with 1,000 shares; the largest No position is Olcan with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 36.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 12:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 345 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 26 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 14.0% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 5.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Olcan | No | 1.15K |
| RememberAmalek | Yes | 999.99 |
| Krass | No | 998.33 |
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027
| LR1 |
| Yes |
| 970.6 |
| rocky42009 | Yes | 300 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 253.49 |
| kittycat67 | No | 192.27 |
| leectram2 | No | 170.53 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 153.03 |
| Mantzuraj | No | 146.81 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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