Analytics
Yes is at 8.5%, down 38 points from 46% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 334 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 24 Oct 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 55% on 25 Nov 2025 and the lowest 7.5% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.5%; a month before, 12.5%. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 32% on 2 Jan 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?”.
$124.65K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $12.83K, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $148.49 bought Yes and $2.34K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Flamboyant-Warming with 137 shares; the largest No position is DFC with 235. Ten wallets hold 29% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 1:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 334 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 46.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 8.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DFC | No | 234.89 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 137.15 |
| ineedmassage | No | 134.99 |
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027
| rocky42009 |
| Yes |
| 131 |
| AJSV | Yes | 80.62 |
| 9df | Yes | 73.51 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 66.49 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 62.38 |
| Jet9 | No | 60 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 53.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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