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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 2.98K | $0.780 | $2.52K | +$203.6 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 460 | $0.650 | $299 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.33K |
| $0.880 |
| $2.18K |
| +$128.15 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 2.21K | $0.905 | $2.16K | +$159.17 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.4K | $0.994 | $1.39K | +$2.7 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.37K | $0.648 | $911.05 | +$23.65 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 900 | $0.986 | $894.15 | +$6.45 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 900 | $0.971 | $871.65 | -$2.05 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 540 | $0.892 | $494.1 | +$12.4 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.938 | $485.25 | +$16.15 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 510.01 | $0.818 | $436.06 | +$18.65 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 400 | $0.982 | $398.6 | +$5.8 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 400 | $0.926 | $397.4 | +$27 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 399.97 | $0.908 | $387.77 | +$24.4 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 400.65 | $0.959 | $385.22 | +$1 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 400 | $0.963 | $384.2 | -$1 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 400.01 | $0.837 | $362.01 | +$27.25 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 450.63 | $0.629 | $335.72 | +$52.27 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 349.99 | $0.657 | $333.54 | +$103.55 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 463.67 | $0.624 | $303.7 | +$14.23 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.970 | $297.45 | +$6.45 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 300 | $0.900 | $279 | +$9 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 300.6 | $0.867 | $278.06 | +$17.53 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 300 | $0.823 | $253.5 | +$6.5 |
 Will Florian Dinger win the next Göttingen mayoral election? | Yes | 509.17 | $0.274 | $206.21 | +$66.82 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 270 | $0.730 | $201.15 | +$4.05 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.742 |
| $74.15 |
| 2d ago |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 203.55 | $0.820 | $166.91 | 2d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 201.45 | $0.820 | $165.19 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 254.07 | $0.620 | $157.52 | 2d ago |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.042 | $8.4 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.630 | $126 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.730 | $197.1 | 4d ago |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 15.51 | $0.930 | $14.42 | 4d ago |
| Will Florian Dinger win the next Göttingen mayoral election?Yes | sell | 280 | $0.669 | $187.3 | 4d ago |
 Will Crown Prince Fumihito attend King Harald V's funeral?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.960 | $40.32 | 5d ago |
| Will Florian Dinger win the next Göttingen mayoral election?Yes | buy | 789.17 | $0.274 | $216.04 | 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | 5d ago |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 68.69 | $0.640 | $43.96 | 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.603 | $60.29 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.840 | $67.2 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | 6d ago |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.045 | $26.9 | 8d ago |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?Yes | buy | 100.36 | $0.910 | $91.33 | 8d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 175 | $0.910 | $159.25 | 8d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 38.45 | $0.810 | $31.14 | 9d ago |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.720 | $144 | 10d ago |
 Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | 10d ago |
 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.53 | $0.106 | $1.43 | 11d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | 11d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 395.03 | $0.640 | $252.82 | 11d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 364.24 | $0.640 | $233.11 | 11d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | 11d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.880 | $176 | 11d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.974 | $194.8 | 11d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.670 | $134 | 14d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No | buy | 202.92 | $0.640 | $129.87 | 16d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?No | sell | 106.22 | $0.550 | $58.42 | 16d ago |
 Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?No | buy | 100 | $0.989 | $98.9 | 16d ago |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.100 | $60 | 17d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 101.35 | $0.665 | $67.38 | 17d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | 18d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | 19d ago |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No | sell | 26.7 | $0.710 | $18.96 | 19d ago |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 400.65 | $0.959 | $384.22 | 19d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.600 | $120 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.396 | $29.7 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.400 | $80 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?No | buy | 326.27 | $0.610 | $199.02 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No | buy | 247.7 | $0.620 | $153.57 | 19d ago |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes | sell | 366 | $0.070 | $25.62 | 21d ago |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes | buy | 366 | $0.080 | $29.28 | 21d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.140 | $28 | 23d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.710 | $35.5 | 25d ago |