Analytics
Yes is at 16.5%, down 32 points from 48.5% when the market opened on 11 Sep 2026.
Across the 41 daily closes on record from 11 Sep 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48.5% on 11 Sep 2026 and the lowest 16.5% on 29 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 24.5%; a month before, 23.5%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 35.5% on 12 Sep 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Houthis enter Aden by...?”.
$1.82K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $235.53K since listing. The order book holds $40.47K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $18.36K bought Yes and $20.73K bought No; the largest was a $8.14K sell of No at 74.0¢.
The largest Yes position is RememberAmalek with 5.7K shares; the largest No position is GammaSqueeze1234 with 4K. Ten wallets hold 62.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 1:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 11 Sep 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Sep 2026 | 48.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 16.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RememberAmalek | Yes | 5.67K |
| Phenium | Yes | 4.53K |
| GammaSqueeze1234 | No | 4K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi military forces enter any part of Aden, Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Houthi military forces" refers to the military forces of the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. "Aden" refers to the following districts of Aden Governorate, Yemen: Craiter (Sirah), At Tawahi, Al Mualla, Khur Maksar, Ash Shaikh Outhman, Dar Sad, and Al Mansura. Al Buraiqeh district (Little Aden) is excluded and entry into Al Buraiqeh alone will not qualify. "Enter" means that the Houthi military forces, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Aden, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below. Bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim of Houthi entry will not qualify without actual entry being established. The entrance of Houthi emissaries for the purpose of negotiating an agreement or other diplomatic or commercial endeavors will not alone qualify. In the event of genuine ambiguity, this market may remain open for three days after the specified date. If Houthi entry into Aden is not established by the end of the third calendar day, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/houthis-enter-aden-byptptpt
| AlphaBetaGamma2357 |
| Yes |
| 4K |
| GOLADS96 | No | 3.97K |
| zhaoyk | Yes | 3.64K |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | No | 3.26K |
| RogerFed | No | 3K |
| BigRabbit | Yes | 2.5K |
| v4l2 | Yes | 2.4K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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