Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.91K | $0.666 | $4.44K | +$1.17K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 1.68K | $0.310 | $521.55 | 4d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 14.7K |
| $0.209 |
| $2.13K |
| -$946.84 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 4.66K | $0.154 | $593.66 | -$125.76 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.57K | $0.260 | $578.25 | -$89.95 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 17.46 | $0.460 | $15.63 | +$7.6 |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 0.41 | $0.310 | $0.01 | -$0.11 |
| buy |
| 1.35K |
| $0.153 |
| $206.22 |
| 5d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 4.9K | $0.978 | $4.79K | 5d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.550 | $825 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 345.5 | $0.719 | $248.42 | 5d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7K | $0.524 | $3.67K | 12d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.500 | $1.5K | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 4.15K | $0.995 | $4.13K | 20d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.776 | $1.16K | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 810.99 | $0.110 | $89.21 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.663 | $994.66 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.91K | $0.640 | $1.22K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 2.91K | $0.830 | $2.41K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.810 | $910.72 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 600.09 | $0.480 | $288.04 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 1.4K | $0.490 | $686 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56K | $0.260 | $665.34 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.660 | $1.05K | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 4.5K | $0.450 | $2.03K | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.82K | $0.170 | $480.11 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?No | sell | 262.62 | $0.041 | $10.77 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 2K | $0.450 | $900.13 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30?No | sell | 3K | $0.905 | $2.71K | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 720.82 | $0.422 | $304.33 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 1.83K | $0.790 | $1.44K | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 720.82 | $0.480 | $345.99 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 61.62 | $0.780 | $48.06 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 839.45 | $0.780 | $654.77 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | sell | 3K | $0.414 | $1.24K | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.022 | $88.11 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 2.47K | $0.910 | $2.25K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 530.55 | $0.910 | $482.8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?No | buy | 262.62 | $0.320 | $84.04 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 1.27K | $0.830 | $1.05K | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.046 | $115 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.240 | $2.4K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 1K | $0.500 | $500 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 1K | $0.554 | $553.52 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.353 | $352.99 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 5.87K | $0.999 | $5.86K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 3.66K | $0.999 | $3.66K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 196.99 | $0.658 | $129.62 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 2.51K | $0.752 | $1.89K | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 1.31K | $0.983 | $1.29K | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 918 | $0.989 | $908.15 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.006 | $60 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.197 | $1.97K | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 2.01K | $0.820 | $1.64K | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.5K | $0.009 | $58.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.35K | $0.073 | $317.35 | Jul 20, 2026 |