Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 100K | $0.234 | $20.15K | -$3.3K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.530 | $530 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 25K |
| $0.391 |
| $20.12K |
| +$10.35K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 100.51K | $0.193 | $14.57K | -$4.78K |
 Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 105K | $0.090 | $12.07K | +$2.63K |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20K | $0.545 | $10.5K | -$399.98 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 30K | $0.337 | $10.05K | -$49.92 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 75.99K | $0.132 | $8.32K | -$1.73K |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 15.27K | $0.420 | $7.71K | +$1.3K |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 10K | $0.666 | $7.05K | +$385.53 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 10K | $0.632 | $5.3K | -$1.02K |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 200.92K | $0.022 | $4.62K | +$99.45 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 26.53K | $0.209 | $4.11K | -$1.45K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | Yes | 46.25K | $0.111 | $3.47K | -$1.68K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 100K | $0.052 | $2.75K | -$2.47K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 34.09K | $0.173 | $2.22K | -$3.68K |
| Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 52.54K | $0.033 | $2.08K | +$341.54 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 10K | $0.230 | $2.05K | -$250 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 43.6K | $0.060 | $1.92K | -$708.11 |
| Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 200.21K | $0.009 | $1.7K | -$190.17 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 11.07K | $0.462 | $1.49K | -$3.62K |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 15K | $0.200 | $1.42K | -$1.57K |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 10.16K | $0.256 | $1.42K | -$1.17K |
| Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 94.8K | $0.016 | $1.37K | -$158.43 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5K | $0.253 | $1.18K | -$89.8 |
 JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | Yes | 17.96K | $0.090 | $987.91 | -$625.28 |
| buy |
| 15K |
| $0.180 |
| $2.7K |
| 3d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.110 | $550 | 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.02K | $0.170 | $342.79 | 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 15K | $0.060 | $900 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.080 | $800 | 7d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.160 | $4.8 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.210 | $525 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.080 | $120 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.200 | $500 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.27K | $0.080 | $261.6 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.035 | $87.5 | 9d ago |
 Will Iran target Qatar by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 99.6 | $0.240 | $23.87 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.81K | $0.030 | $54.27 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15K | $0.190 | $2.85K | 9d ago |
 Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?Yes | sell | 1.36K | $0.914 | $1.24K | 10d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?No | buy | 10K | $0.033 | $330 | 11d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | buy | 3K | $0.260 | $780 | 12d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | buy | 10K | $0.110 | $1.1K | 12d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?No | buy | 5K | $0.190 | $950 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 718.87 | $0.090 | $64.7 | 14d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | sell | 5K | $0.140 | $700 | 14d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?No | sell | 10K | $0.260 | $2.6K | 14d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?No | sell | 10K | $0.060 | $600 | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | buy | 25K | $0.197 | $4.93K | 14d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.100 | $500 | 14d ago |
| Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 105.2K | $0.010 | $1.04K | 15d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?No | buy | 2K | $0.260 | $520 | 15d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 5.33K | $0.179 | $954.78 | 15d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | sell | 5K | $0.296 | $1.48K | 16d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | buy | 5K | $0.270 | $1.35K | 18d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.270 | $540 | 18d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?Yes | buy | 94.8 | $0.090 | $8.53 | 18d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.060 | $300 | 18d ago |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 53.23K | $0.025 | $1.33K | 19d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.18K | $0.210 | $1.09K | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.050 | $500 | 19d ago |
 Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.870 | $3.63 | 19d ago |
| Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.950 | $474.94 | 19d ago |
| Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 310.61 | $0.805 | $250 | 19d ago |
| Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 370 | $0.659 | $243.8 | 19d ago |
| Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.8 | $0.560 | $11.65 | 19d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No | sell | 14.1K | $0.211 | $2.98K | 19d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No | sell | 6.26K | $0.168 | $1.05K | 19d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.005 | $0.05 | 20d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.100 | $103.73 | 22d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | 22d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 207.1 | $0.380 | $78.7 | 22d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.110 | $165 | 22d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.200 | $200 | 22d ago |