Analytics
Paper trading
Yes is at 2.5%, down 2 points from 4.5% when the market opened on 19 Jul 2025.
The high was 5.5% on 20 Jul 2025 and the low 1.8% on 26 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 2.6%; a month ago, 2.4%.
It is one of 43 markets under “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028”.
$3.08K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $15.66M since listing. The order book holds $346.55K, with a 0.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $444.73 bought Yes and $6.91K bought No; the largest was a $2.92K sell of No at 97.4¢.
The largest Yes position is Brokie with 304K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.58M. Ten wallets hold 78.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 13, 11:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 418 points, 19 Jul 2025 – 13 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2025 | 4.5% |
| 13 Oct 2026 | 2.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.58M |
| Brokie | Yes | 304K |
| BigRabbit | Yes | 200.92K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028
31 more markets, none above 0.4%.
| PollsR4Dummies |
| Yes |
| 182.88K |
| 11122 | Yes | 157.86K |
| laganza | Yes | 150K |
| J-E-R | Yes | 146.54K |
| pxlz | Yes | 140.02K |
| siick | Yes | 135.43K |
| Pog | Yes | 109.23K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page