Analytics
Yes is at 2.5%, up 1.3 points from 1.2% when the market opened on 19 Jul 2025.
Across the 444 daily closes on record from 19 Jul 2025 to 29 Oct 2026 (24 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 2.9% on 18 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 21 Aug 2025. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.5%; a month before, 1.9%.
It is one of 43 markets under “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028”.
$3.15K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $19.87M since listing. The order book holds $778.57K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $258.09 bought Yes and $2.01K bought No; the largest was a $1.75K sell of Yes at 2.3¢.
The largest Yes position is bernardbulletin with 531.9K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.61M. Ten wallets hold 91.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 1:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 444 points, 19 Jul 2025 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2025 | 1.2% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 2.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.61M |
| bernardbulletin | Yes | 531.86K |
| Chungvicular | Yes | 425K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028
31 more markets, none above 0.4%.
| 11122 | Yes | 336.49K |
| Brokie | Yes | 314K |
| ifyouloveme | Yes | 222.22K |
| TedforPrez29 | Yes | 202.77K |
| thanks4playing | Yes | 50K |
| GollumGekko | Yes | 48.43K |
| truthteller | Yes | 43.69K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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