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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 5K | $0.500 | $3.8K | +$1.3K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazCarlos Alcaraz | buy | 340.9 | $0.440 | $150 | 3h ago |
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| No |
| 4K |
| $0.675 |
| $3.54K |
| +$841.6 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5K | $0.500 | $1.2K | -$1.3K |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 999.96 | $0.887 | $934.96 | +$48.36 |
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | No | 4.48K | $0.336 | $873.55 | -$633.38 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 1.04K | $0.868 | $866.06 | -$33.92 |
Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election? | Yes | 850.01 | $0.529 | $603.5 | +$153.85 |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4.31K | $0.229 | $582.01 | -$404.6 |
Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026? | No | 634.05 | $0.393 | $450.17 | +$200.86 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 425.53 | $0.940 | $400 | $0 |
No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 482.14 | $0.825 | $385.47 | -$12.53 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | Yes | 396.42 | $0.836 | $340.92 | +$9.43 |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.77K | $0.139 | $332.64 | -$52.28 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | No | 909.09 | $0.220 | $290.91 | +$90.91 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 562.74 | $0.656 | $284.19 | -$85.15 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1.75K | $0.177 | $253.75 | -$56.35 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 8.7K | $0.034 | $243.6 | -$54.68 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 5.43K | $0.092 | $236.18 | -$263.79 |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 416.66 | $0.360 | $208.33 | +$58.33 |
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | No | 307.76 | $0.650 | $196.96 | -$3.03 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | Yes | 829.54 | $0.243 | $195.77 | -$5.48 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.160 | $193.75 | -$6.25 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.38K | $0.261 | $192.64 | -$166.04 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 499.99 | $0.320 | $182.5 | +$22.5 |
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 547.51 | $0.363 | $161.51 | -$37.39 |
| buy |
| 137.5 |
| $0.350 |
| $48.13 |
| 7h ago |
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 32.96 | $0.917 | $30.22 | 7h ago |
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 17.69 | $0.934 | $16.53 | 7h ago |
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028?Yes | sell | 195.92 | $0.354 | $69.38 | 8h ago |
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.990 | $7.92 | 10h ago |
Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.989 | $39.56 | 10h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 59.99 | $0.660 | $39.59 | 10h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 256.89 | $0.339 | $86.99 | 10h ago |
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | sell | 5.98 | $0.840 | $5.02 | 10h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 73.52 | $0.680 | $49.99 | 11h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 234.37 | $0.640 | $150 | 11h ago |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?No | sell | 361 | $0.775 | $279.77 | 11h ago |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 437.5 | $0.800 | $349.96 | 11h ago |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 361 | $0.596 | $215.21 | 12h ago |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.130 | $130 | 12h ago |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.140 | $5.6 | 12h ago |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 124 | $0.130 | $16.12 | 12h ago |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | buy | 425.53 | $0.940 | $400 | 14h ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | sell | 79.9 | $0.490 | $39.15 | 14h ago |
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in September?Yes | sell | 253.66 | $0.210 | $53.27 | 14h ago |
No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 181.5 | $0.829 | $150.47 | 15h ago |
Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?Yes | sell | 119.97 | $0.806 | $96.68 | 16h ago |
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 180.72 | $0.830 | $150 | 16h ago |
LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 105.7 | $0.946 | $99.99 | 1d ago |
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 241 | $0.284 | $68.41 | 1d ago |
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.680 | $17 | 1d ago |
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | 2d ago |
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 1.57 | $0.640 | $1 | 2d ago |
Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 297.77 | $0.450 | $134 | 2d ago |
Will Mbah Peter Ndubuisi win the 2027 Enugu State gubernatorial election?No | sell | 28.24 | $0.240 | $6.78 | 2d ago |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | buy | 626.48 | $0.180 | $112.77 | 2d ago |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 723.1 | $0.260 | $188.01 | 2d ago |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 679.99 | $0.320 | $217.6 | 2d ago |
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028?Yes | buy | 195.92 | $0.150 | $29.39 | 3d ago |
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 350.77 | $0.357 | $125.17 | 3d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | buy | 68.18 | $0.440 | $30 | 3d ago |
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 223.88 | $0.670 | $150 | 3d ago |
Will Houthis target Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 457.95 | $0.020 | $9.19 | 3d ago |
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.735 | $58.8 | 3d ago |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.51 | $0.180 | $16.29 | 3d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.24K | $0.006 | $19.45 | 3d ago |
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.117 | $46.8 | 3d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 202.64 | $0.007 | $1.42 | 3d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 566.66 | $0.150 | $85 | 3d ago |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 42.85 | $0.840 | $35.99 | 3d ago |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 576.92 | $0.260 | $150 | 3d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 358.71 | $0.640 | $229.57 | 3d ago |
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 82.08 | $0.786 | $64.48 | 3d ago |
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.234 | $1.17 | 4d ago |