Analytics
Yes is at 5%, down 17 points from 22% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 316 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 25 Oct 2026 (39 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52.5% on 9 Nov 2025 and the lowest 4.5% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6.5%; a month before, 8.5%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 46% on 7 Nov 2025.
It is one of 12 markets under “Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?”.
$87.93K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $14.18K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $544.11 bought Yes and $8.41K bought No; the largest was a $2.91K buy of No at 93.8¢.
The largest Yes position is hanniphampani with 3.2K shares; the largest No position is akula1993 with 3.2K. Ten wallets hold 68.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 68 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 11:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 316 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 22.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 5.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hanniphampani | Yes | 3.2K |
| akula1993 | No | 3.16K |
| pakukudolphi | No | 3.11K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-before-2027
| Marco-Rubio |
| Yes |
| 1.81K |
| marinerhaz | Yes | 1.01K |
| MEPP | No | 993.75 |
| fledger | Yes | 700 |
| BeatnikBoogie | No | 631.43 |
| Jet9 | No | 605 |
| Violet Vector B233 | Yes | 601.78 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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