Analytics
Yes is at 5.1%, down 39 points from 44% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 323 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (34 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 68% on 26 Nov 2025 and the lowest 3.1% on 10 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.5%; a month before, 5%. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 68% on 26 Nov 2025.
It is one of 12 markets under “Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?”.
$889.52 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $187.99K since listing. The order book holds $20.32K, with a 1.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.86K bought Yes and $30.42K bought No; the largest was a $1.3K sell of No at 90.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Knobby-Boat with 3.1K shares; the largest No position is e88888 with 3K. Ten wallets hold 75.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 323 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 44.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 5.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Knobby-Boat | Yes | 3.12K |
| e88888 | No | 3K |
| patientman | No | 2.9K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-before-2027
| Grounded-Customer |
| Yes |
| 1.58K |
| hanniphampani | Yes | 1.5K |
| fledger | Yes | 1.01K |
| archaic | No | 918.57 |
| Kris-Future | No | 506.7 |
| Zaratustra | No | 500 |
| marinerhaz | Yes | 403 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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