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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 54.48K | $0.805 | $51.21K | +$7.37K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | buy | 956.96 | $0.899 | $860.31 | 24d ago |
 |
| No |
| 51.36K |
| $0.969 |
| $50.87K |
| +$1.1K |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 25.24K | $0.851 | $24.4K | +$2.92K |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 16K | $0.819 | $15.38K | +$2.28K |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 10K | $0.914 | $9.7K | +$555 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 10K | $0.899 | $8.89K | -$99.99 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.62K | $0.790 | $7.81K | +$992.8 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 5.51K | $0.702 | $4.82K | +$954.19 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.64K | $0.747 | $4.37K | +$158.97 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 5K | $0.750 | $4.32K | +$575 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 4.58K | $0.760 | $4.29K | +$802.06 |
 Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 3K | $0.850 | $2.87K | +$316.5 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 2.35K | $0.408 | $2.02K | +$1.06K |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 2K | $0.760 | $1.73K | +$210 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.45K | $0.780 | $1.26K | +$137.34 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 5.3K | $0.540 | $1.14K | -$1.73K |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 1.21K | $0.800 | $1.11K | +$138.99 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 212.06 | $0.360 | $179.93 | +$103.6 |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | No | 140.49 | $0.820 | $128.55 | +$13.35 |
 Deel IPO before 2027? | No | 123 | $0.730 | $117.47 | +$27.68 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | No | 17.87 | $0.590 | $13.31 | +$2.77 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.750 | $4.77 | +$1.02 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 2.56 | $0.760 | $2.32 | +$0.37 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1.3 | +$0.3 |
| buy |
| 47.29 |
| $0.740 |
| $34.99 |
| Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.550 | $165 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 2.6K | $0.950 | $2.47K | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.640 | $958.4 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 757.74 | $0.620 | $469.8 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.08K | $0.690 | $3.5K | Jul 27, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | buy | 384.47 | $0.976 | $375.24 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 418.3 | $0.252 | $105.41 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 5.93K | $0.969 | $5.74K | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 1.36K | $0.972 | $1.32K | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 3.77K | $0.940 | $3.55K | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 14.43K | $0.600 | $8.66K | Jun 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.86K | $0.968 | $25.03K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 1.02K | $0.820 | $833.2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 884 | $0.590 | $521.56 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 1.23K | $0.840 | $1.03K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.39K | $0.783 | $1.87K | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.762 | $3.81K | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.767 | $3.83K | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 14.38 | $0.921 | $13.24 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 19.55K | $0.841 | $16.44K | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.846 | $8.46K | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20.3K | $0.051 | $1.04K | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?No | buy | 534.41 | $0.198 | $105.68 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 210 | $0.050 | $10.5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 490.51 | $0.289 | $141.74 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.070 | $76.92 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 26.33 | $0.050 | $1.32 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.1K | $0.060 | $126 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 654.53 | $0.600 | $392.72 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.83K | $0.260 | $1.26K | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 9K | $0.246 | $2.21K | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 107 | $0.550 | $58.85 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.04K | $0.399 | $4.8K | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.9K | $0.360 | $2.12K | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.08K | $0.340 | $1.39K | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.9K | $0.230 | $667 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.526 | $23.67 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.71K | $0.960 | $3.56K | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.19K | $0.970 | $4.06K | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 314.3 | $0.964 | $302.96 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | buy | 1.97K | $0.960 | $1.89K | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.950 | $70.3 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 38.3 | $0.700 | $26.81 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 24.59K | $0.992 | $24.4K | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 231.67 | $0.400 | $92.67 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 800 | $0.700 | $560 | May 31, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.750 | $7.5K | May 30, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 238.95 | $0.339 | $81 | May 30, 2026 |