Analytics
Yes is at 7%, down 41 points from 47.5% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
The high was 51.5% on 8 Nov 2025 and the low 6.5% on 2 Mar 2026. A week ago Yes was at 8.5%; a month ago, 8.5%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 8.5% on 2 Jan 2026.
It is one of 12 markets under “Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?”.
$6.86K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $86.48K since listing. The order book holds $19.07K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.62K bought Yes and $11.88K bought No; the largest was a $1.11K buy of No at 92.8¢.
The largest Yes position is illumination with 2.5K shares; the largest No position is Yolotrading with 2.4K. Ten wallets hold 76.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 82 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 11, 5:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 321 points · 6 Nov 2025 – 11 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 47.5% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 7.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| illumination | Yes | 2.54K |
| Yolotrading | No | 2.39K |
| Inchoroi | No | 1.55K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-before-2027
| ahhdumbo |
| No |
| 1.24K |
| MargaretEvans4554 | Yes | 1.13K |
| marinerhaz | Yes | 1.07K |
| Polished-Foray | Yes | 971.74 |
| AJSV | Yes | 812.8 |
| M2sx92kljs42 | No | 663.51 |
| user201 | No | 607.33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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