Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 2K | $0.150 | $310 | +$10 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 311.83 | $0.063 | $19.6 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 8.8K |
| $0.045 |
| $277.2 |
| -$122.8 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 4K | $0.057 | $260 | +$30 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | Yes | 2.5K | $0.082 | $212.5 | +$7.51 |
 Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 1.81K | $0.077 | $130.03 | -$8.32 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.060 | $111.25 | -$38.75 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 4.2K | $0.042 | $102.9 | -$72.09 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.070 | $97.5 | -$7.5 |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.080 | $85 | +$5 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 1.6K | $0.044 | $77.6 | +$6.7 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.070 | $65 | -$5 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 189.08 | $0.080 | $23.73 | +$8.6 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.060 | $19 | +$7 |
 Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.070 | $16.75 | -$18.25 |
 2026 Balance of Power: Other | Yes | 4K | $0.005 | $14 | -$6 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.020 | $9.75 | -$20.25 |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 84.67 | $0.040 | $4.66 | +$1.27 |
| sell |
| 304.99 |
| $0.860 |
| $262.4 |
| Jun 22, 2026 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 304.99 | $0.906 | $276.28 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 311.83 | $0.080 | $24.95 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.89K | $0.001 | $8.89 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.063 | $18.9 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes | buy | 56.4 | $0.997 | $56.23 | May 23, 2026 |
 Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?No | buy | 80.02 | $0.140 | $11.2 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?No | buy | 37.5 | $0.170 | $6.38 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes | buy | 1.56K | $0.064 | $100.38 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 1.8K | $0.170 | $306 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Judy Shelton" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 731.55 | $0.021 | $15.36 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.004 | $40 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 8.41K | $0.036 | $302.84 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 4.18K | $0.057 | $238.1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 925.99 | $0.661 | $611.74 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.82K | $0.890 | $3.4K | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 925.99 | $0.397 | $367.37 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Yes | buy | 1.77K | $0.565 | $1K | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.64K | $0.610 | $1K | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | sell | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.380 | $541.99 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.09K | $0.024 | $50 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.37K | $0.860 | $1.18K | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 31?Yes | buy | 810 | $0.056 | $45.61 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?Yes | buy | 20.56 | $0.480 | $9.87 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.999 | $2K | Dec 23, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 24.88 | $0.813 | $20.22 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 2K | $0.269 | $538.45 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| No airdrop in 2025?Yes | buy | 810 | $0.159 | $129.03 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | buy | 629.63 | $0.635 | $399.67 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No | sell | 1.14K | $0.976 | $1.11K | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes | sell | 2.14K | $0.997 | $2.13K | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | sell | 1 | $0.570 | $0.57 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.37K | $0.755 | $1.03K | Dec 17, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No | buy | 621 | $0.818 | $508.01 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.670 | $402 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | buy | 714.68 | $0.049 | $35 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.93K | $0.002 | $5 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes | buy | 1.54K | $0.650 | $1K | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 6.9K | $0.950 | $6.56K | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 9.55K | $0.992 | $9.47K | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.55K | $0.970 | $9.26K | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.985 | $0.99 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 1.95K | $0.890 | $1.74K | Nov 23, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 7.31K | $0.684 | $5K | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.982 | $0.98 | Nov 23, 2025 |