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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 30K | $0.076 | $1.95K | -$337.98 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.070 | $420 | 18h ago |
|
| No |
| 10.31K |
| $0.175 |
| $1.58K |
| -$230.01 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | Yes | 2.63K | $0.472 | $1.5K | +$256.05 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 9.64K | $0.123 | $1.3K | +$112.4 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 16.4K | $0.054 | $901.92 | +$18.02 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | Yes | 6.71K | $0.119 | $436.15 | -$360.29 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 4.81K | $0.064 | $312.52 | +$3.83 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 4.32K | $0.049 | $196.72 | -$13 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 2.16K | $0.108 | $194.37 | -$39.27 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | Yes | 750.01 | $0.128 | $120 | +$23.69 |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 1.36K | $0.081 | $115.32 | +$5.79 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1K | $0.110 | $105 | -$5 |
 Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.110 | $49.48 | -$88.31 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 3.67K | $0.011 | $16.53 | -$22.04 |
 Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1? | Yes | 250 | $0.060 | $2.38 | -$12.63 |
| buy |
| 3K |
| $0.070 |
| $210 |
| 18h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.128 | $192.63 | 18h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.490 | $980 | 18h ago |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.050 | $500 | 18h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | buy | 432 | $0.447 | $193 | 20h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Yes | buy | 188.74 | $0.180 | $33.97 | 21h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 2K | $0.130 | $260 | 2d ago |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes | sell | 209.28 | $0.049 | $10.25 | 3d ago |
| Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.060 | $15 | 4d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 435.94 | $0.560 | $244.13 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.31K | $0.509 | $665.02 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.74K | $0.519 | $905.56 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.49K | $0.479 | $1.67K | 4d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 669.58 | $0.160 | $107.13 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 545.9 | $0.110 | $60.05 | 6d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 6.05K | $0.007 | $39.62 | 9d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.480 | $96 | 9d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 0.91 | $0.070 | $0.06 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 412.03 | $0.240 | $98.89 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 3.4K | $0.120 | $408 | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 2.6K | $0.004 | $10.45 | 9d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 2.6K | $0.018 | $46.8 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 1.69K | $0.100 | $169.02 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 6.18K | $0.003 | $18.55 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 9.85K | $0.003 | $31.9 | 9d ago |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | sell | 68 | $0.073 | $4.98 | 14d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 29, 2026?Yes | sell | 400.85 | $0.040 | $16.13 | 14d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 405.46 | $0.035 | $14.03 | 14d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 390.01 | $0.060 | $23.4 | 14d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 9.31K | $0.020 | $186.22 | 14d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Yes | buy | 63.9 | $0.140 | $8.95 | 15d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Yes | buy | 43.9 | $0.140 | $6.15 | 15d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 562.18 | $0.007 | $4.13 | 17d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.001 | $0.8 | 17d ago |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on August 29, 2026?Yes | sell | 135 | $0.126 | $17.01 | 18d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 141.47 | $0.062 | $8.79 | 18d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 200.8 | $0.039 | $7.78 | 18d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 107.38 | $0.061 | $6.5 | 18d ago |
 Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.002 | $0.8 | 22d ago |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40.95 | $0.050 | $2.05 | 22d ago |
 Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | sell | 211.24 | $0.007 | $1.4 | 22d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 355 | $0.500 | $177.36 | 22d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 937 | $0.011 | $10.31 | 22d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.070 | $105 | 24d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 1.14K | $0.080 | $91.27 | 24d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 4.07K | $0.002 | $8.15 | 24d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | 27d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.050 | $100 | 27d ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.057 | $1.14 | 27d ago |