Analytics
Yes is at 12%, down 38 points from 50% when the market opened on 1 Jan 2026.
Across the 276 daily closes on record from 1 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 74% on 7 Jan 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 9 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 14%; a month before, 8%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 40% on 16 Jan 2026.
It is one of 12 markets under “Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?”.
$30 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $124.36K since listing. The order book holds $1.03K, with a 8.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $3.03K bought Yes and $6.47K bought No.
The largest Yes position is johnnyA with 555 shares; the largest No position is M2sx92kljs42 with 881. Ten wallets hold 36.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 5:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 276 points, 1 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 12.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| M2sx92kljs42 | No | 880.71 |
| Valen9 | No | 584.87 |
| johnnyA | Yes | 555 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-before-2027
| Krass |
| No |
| 499.97 |
| Hezi.m | Yes | 447.32 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | No | 411.57 |
| millei | Yes | 397.55 |
| nonkenny90 | No | 330.14 |
| Giving-Bottomline | No | 321.84 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 288.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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