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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.67K | $0.750 | $3.62K | +$117.48 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.67K | $0.750 | $3.5K | 11d ago |
 |
| No |
| 3.51K |
| $0.598 |
| $3.11K |
| +$1.01K |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 3.59K | $0.582 | $1.79K | -$303.16 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 2.76K | $0.543 | $1.45K | -$49.55 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.21K | $0.662 | $1.03K | +$232.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.23K | $0.602 | $741.72 | +$3.88 |
 Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 321.84 | $0.621 | $304.14 | +$104.14 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3.03K | $0.165 | $221.49 | -$278.51 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 81.08 | $0.740 | $77.43 | +$17.43 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 27.86 | $0.359 | $4.69 | -$5.31 |
| sell |
| 15.5K |
| $0.234 |
| $3.62K |
| Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 742.12 | $0.590 | $437.85 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 790.9 | $0.531 | $419.76 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 790.91 | $0.583 | $461 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | sell | 5.88K | $0.077 | $453.6 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.59K | $0.520 | $824 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | buy | 4.3K | $0.326 | $1.4K | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 223.56 | $0.081 | $18.15 | May 21, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | sell | 457.96 | $0.460 | $210.88 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 223.56 | $0.089 | $20 | May 20, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 152.16 | $0.493 | $75 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 27.86 | $0.359 | $10 | May 16, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 81.08 | $0.740 | $60 | May 16, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 305.8 | $0.491 | $150 | May 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.89K | $0.100 | $288.98 | May 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.68K | $0.350 | $939 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 668.33 | $0.406 | $271.66 | May 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 476.19 | $0.280 | $133.33 | May 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 512.91 | $0.190 | $97.58 | May 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.230 | $50 | May 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 512.92 | $0.156 | $80 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 206.9 | $0.290 | $60 | May 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.210 | $100 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 909.09 | $0.660 | $600 | May 4, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.76K | $0.543 | $1.5K | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 668.33 | $0.600 | $401 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 321.84 | $0.621 | $200 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 298.51 | $0.670 | $200 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 483.87 | $0.620 | $300 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 805.95 | $0.858 | $691.48 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 989.65 | $0.688 | $680.68 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 3.16K | $0.002 | $6.39 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 989.65 | $0.890 | $880.79 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 15.5K | $0.129 | $2K | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.03K | $0.165 | $500 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 3.4K | $0.995 | $3.38K | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 2K | $0.768 | $1.53K | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.400 | $1K | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 2.57K | $0.987 | $2.53K | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 3.4K | $0.590 | $2K | Mar 14, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 3.16K | $0.400 | $1.26K | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2.57K | $0.800 | $2.05K | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?No | buy | 3.31K | $0.605 | $2K | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 3.39K | $0.586 | $1.99K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US | sell | 6.25K | $0.318 | $1.99K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US | buy | 6.25K | $0.341 | $2.13K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 196.08 | $0.510 | $100 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "India" during the State of the Union address?No | buy | 200.43 | $0.499 | $100 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?No | buy | 202.44 | $0.494 | $100 | Feb 1, 2026 |