Analytics
Yes is at 7.5%, down 43 points from 50% when the market opened on 28 May 2026.
Across the 150 daily closes on record from 28 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 28 May 2026 and the lowest 5% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 7.5%; a month before, 6.5%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 12% on 30 May 2026.
It is one of 12 markets under “Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?”.
$13.8K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.6K, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 163 trades, $67.61 bought Yes and $6.19K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 238 shares; the largest No position is DFC with 209. Ten wallets hold 82.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 150 points, 28 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 7.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 237.89 |
| DFC | No | 209.43 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 123.14 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-before-2027
| Golden Signal D11F | No | 106.95 |
| bZk0Uo | No | 68.54 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 60.01 |
| archaic | No | 60 |
| theitaliangoats | No | 53.21 |
| 9df | Yes | 50 |
| Inchoroi | No | 47.44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
