Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 156.1K | $0.779 | $133.47K | +$11.8K |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-09?No | buy | 94.03 | $0.991 | $93.18 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 25.25K |
| $0.874 |
| $23.86K |
| +$1.79K |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 21.09K | $0.717 | $18.24K | +$3.12K |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 13.36K | $0.891 | $13.05K | +$1.15K |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 12.17K | $0.899 | $12.08K | +$1.14K |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 12.34K | $0.944 | $12.07K | +$414.88 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 13.07K | $0.728 | $11.83K | +$2.32K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 13.68K | $0.785 | $11.83K | +$1.09K |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 10.26K | $0.861 | $8.87K | +$42.9 |
 Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | No | 7.88K | $0.891 | $6.81K | -$201.93 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | No | 6.87K | $0.943 | $6.64K | +$159.55 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 7.14K | $0.888 | $6.53K | +$195.5 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 5.8K | $0.757 | $5.25K | +$859.3 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 5.09K | $0.905 | $4.93K | +$322.6 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.3K | $0.854 | $4.67K | +$140.26 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 4.56K | $0.933 | $4.5K | +$254.34 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 5.05K | $0.767 | $4.3K | +$433.02 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | No | 4.62K | $0.897 | $4.23K | +$81.33 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 4.83K | $0.777 | $4.04K | +$278.39 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.49K | $0.967 | $3.38K | -$1.88 |
 Trump meets with Putin by September 30? | No | 3.31K | $0.950 | $3.19K | +$48.71 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.21K | $0.980 | $3.14K | -$12.63 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | No | 3.08K | $0.964 | $3.06K | +$90.02 |
 Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.39K | $0.859 | $2.97K | +$52.65 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.8K | $0.884 | $2.76K | +$282.09 |
| buy |
| 32 |
| $0.971 |
| $31.07 |
| 1h ago |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 3 Sabah FK?No | buy | 206 | $0.995 | $204.97 | 1h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 390 | $0.920 | $358.8 | 1h ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 356.13 | $0.900 | $320.52 | 1h ago |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 790 | $0.910 | $718.9 | 5h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.23 | $0.900 | $7.41 | 5h ago |
| Exact Score: SSC Napoli 1 - 3 Arsenal FC?No | buy | 211 | $0.990 | $208.89 | 6h ago |
| Exact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 3 Club Atlético de Madrid?No | buy | 290 | $0.970 | $281.3 | 6h ago |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.966 | $125.55 | 8h ago |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in August?No | buy | 270 | $0.992 | $267.71 | 9h ago |
 Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 433 | $0.760 | $329.08 | 9h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 547 | $0.978 | $534.89 | 9h ago |
| Exact Score: Houston Dynamo 0 - 0 Real Salt Lake?No | buy | 333 | $0.946 | $315.02 | 9h ago |
 SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 211 | $0.930 | $196.23 | 9h ago |
| SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 343 | $0.930 | $318.99 | 9h ago |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?No | buy | 270 | $0.956 | $258.2 | 9h ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?No | buy | 43 | $0.920 | $39.56 | 9h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9?No | buy | 145 | $0.995 | $144.28 | 9h ago |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | 9h ago |
| Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-08?No | buy | 454 | $0.989 | $448.89 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.978 | $195.6 | 1d ago |
| Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08?No | buy | 870 | $0.967 | $841.29 | 1d ago |
| Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08?No | buy | 2.18K | $0.967 | $2.11K | 1d ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 210.96 | $0.984 | $207.66 | 1d ago |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 641.89 | $0.840 | $539.19 | 1d ago |
 Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 89.48 | $0.968 | $86.62 | 1d ago |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | buy | 366.01 | $0.840 | $307.45 | 1d ago |
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 54.99 | $0.830 | $45.64 | 1d ago |
 Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 154.46 | $0.860 | $132.84 | 1d ago |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 311 | $0.768 | $238.88 | 1d ago |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 76 | $0.760 | $57.76 | 1d ago |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.973 | $107.02 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 756 | $0.981 | $741.64 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.980 | $49 | 1d ago |
 Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 5.91 | $0.960 | $5.67 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | buy | 257 | $0.930 | $239.01 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 153 | $0.960 | $146.88 | 1d ago |
| Exact Score: Houston Dynamo 0 - 3 Real Salt Lake?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | 1d ago |
 Exact Score: AJ Auxerre 1 - 3 OGC Nice?No | buy | 666 | $0.974 | $648.96 | 1d ago |
| Exact Score: Club Brugge KV 0 - 0 Aston Villa FC?No | buy | 577 | $0.950 | $548.15 | 1d ago |
| Exact Score: Houston Dynamo 0 - 0 Real Salt Lake?No | buy | 366.74 | $0.954 | $349.81 | 1d ago |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?Yes | buy | 444 | $0.969 | $430.24 | 1d ago |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Yes | buy | 348 | $0.940 | $327.12 | 1d ago |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 121 | $0.832 | $100.67 | 1d ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 845.55 | $0.831 | $702.65 | 1d ago |
 Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.970 | $291 | 1d ago |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?No | buy | 177.84 | $0.960 | $170.73 | 1d ago |
| Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 0 - 0 FC Internazionale Milano?No | buy | 211 | $0.970 | $204.67 | 2d ago |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?No | buy | 32.7 | $0.950 | $31.07 | 2d ago |