Analytics
Resolved Mbappé on 27 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Mbappé at 100%. The Mbappé side opened at 50% on 30 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 9.5% on 2 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 24.5% on 1 Oct 2026. $1.39M traded over the market's life.
453 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 12:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Mbappé price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 30 Sep 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Mbappé price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DonaldinhoTrumpito | Yamal | 100K |
| useruserlol | Yamal | 61.42K |
| predictor23452 | Yamal | 40.81K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Mbappé" if Kylian Mbappé finishes higher than Lamine Yamal in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. This market will resolve to "Yamal" if Lamine Yamal finishes higher than Kylian Mbappé. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the official placements of both players have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or ranking; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-2026-kylian-mbappe-or-lamine-yamal-to-finish-higher
| Yamal |
| 38.98K |
| Emerald Comet 77EF | Yamal | 28.39K |
| Elated-Application | Yamal | 22.23K |
| Lufelola | Yamal | 21.51K |
| BigMackyG | Yamal | 12.98K |
| StayFocusLuia | Yamal | 10.55K |
| sergioserra5 | Yamal | 9.32K |
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