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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 11.94K | $0.464 | $10.33K | +$4.78K |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 2.24K | $0.270 | $604.96 | 15h ago |
|
| No |
| 13.8K |
| $0.519 |
| $7.11K |
| -$55.72 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 12.37K | $0.392 | $5.87K | +$1.03K |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | No | 7.6K | $0.467 | $5.47K | +$1.92K |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.95K | $0.397 | $3.62K | +$2.05K |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 12.25K | $0.264 | $3.37K | +$129.09 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Yes | 6.35K | $0.507 | $3.08K | -$140.31 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 13.91K | $0.206 | $2.83K | -$37.21 |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 3.28K | $0.622 | $2.75K | +$712.43 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15? | No | 2.64K | $0.339 | $2.41K | +$1.52K |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 19.47K | $0.175 | $2.34K | -$1.07K |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.24K | $0.106 | $2.23K | +$1.67K |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | No | 4.61K | $0.504 | $2.12K | -$202.73 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.15K | $0.310 | $1.99K | +$1.32K |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? | No | 2.15K | $0.667 | $1.97K | +$532.62 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | No | 3.56K | $0.544 | $1.87K | -$67.68 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 4.05K | $0.345 | $1.64K | +$242.12 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 10.31K | $0.179 | $1.5K | -$350.39 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.36K | $0.179 | $1.36K | +$43.14 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.22K | $0.369 | $1.33K | -$228.88 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 1.79K | $0.550 | $1.26K | +$277.93 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 1.63K | $0.552 | $1.21K | +$306.72 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 10K | $0.150 | $1.15K | -$349.51 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 3.2K | $0.279 | $687.94 | -$204.71 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | Yes | 6K | $0.097 | $660 | +$78.24 |
| buy |
| 5K |
| $0.270 |
| $1.35K |
| 15h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 795.52 | $0.690 | $548.91 | 17h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | buy | 440.02 | $0.520 | $228.65 | 17h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.290 | $336.85 | 17h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | buy | 6.02K | $0.526 | $3.17K | 17h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.58K | $0.285 | $448.94 | 17h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | buy | 4.74K | $0.520 | $2.46K | 17h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.240 | $268.46 | 19h ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | buy | 84.97 | $0.470 | $39.94 | 21h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?No | buy | 3.56K | $0.544 | $1.94K | 23h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | sell | 2.36K | $0.996 | $2.35K | 23h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 650 | $0.070 | $45.5 | 23h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 790 | $0.070 | $55.3 | 23h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | buy | 283 | $0.500 | $141.5 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.200 | $218.06 | 1d ago |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 2.04K | $0.024 | $48.42 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.22K | $0.369 | $1.56K | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | buy | 774.69 | $0.488 | $378.3 | 1d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | sell | 347.41 | $0.700 | $243.19 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.36K | $0.179 | $1.32K | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 520.59 | $0.540 | $281.12 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 9.97 | $0.510 | $5.08 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 2.16K | $0.520 | $1.12K | 1d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.71K | $0.006 | $40.24 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 63.19K | $0.006 | $379.11 | 2d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 3.33K | $0.138 | $458.06 | 2d ago |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 8.68K | $0.005 | $43.39 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 1.23K | $0.138 | $169.62 | 2d ago |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 1.76K | $0.005 | $8.8 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | buy | 1.48K | $0.646 | $956.57 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 887.89 | $0.021 | $18.72 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.79K | $0.020 | $35.23 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.17K | $0.065 | $75.77 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.88K | $0.062 | $117.54 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.460 | $578.55 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.073 | $82.52 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.65K | $0.024 | $39.73 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | buy | 415.85 | $0.695 | $288.82 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | buy | 1.55K | $0.693 | $1.08K | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 207.36 | $0.170 | $35.25 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 318.06 | $0.170 | $54.07 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 360.81 | $0.164 | $59.3 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 314.6 | $0.170 | $53.42 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 316.7 | $0.159 | $50.51 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 785.74 | $0.161 | $126.48 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.66K | $0.159 | $264.09 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.018 | $22.13 | 2d ago |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 969.77 | $0.005 | $4.85 | 2d ago |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 8.5K | $0.004 | $34.02 | 2d ago |