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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | No | 5.61K | $0.949 | $5.36K | +$34.27 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.460 | $23 | 12h ago |
 |
| No |
| 5.5K |
| $0.824 |
| $5.14K |
| +$610.93 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 2.68K | $0.981 | $2.65K | +$17.21 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.25K | $0.897 | $2.04K | +$18.75 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | No | 1.99K | $0.952 | $1.98K | +$83.71 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.87K | $0.509 | $1.7K | -$775.12 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 1.45K | $0.862 | $1.37K | +$120.58 |
 Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | No | 1.38K | $0.901 | $1.29K | +$46.82 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.5K | $0.805 | $1.28K | +$75 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 1.29K | $0.900 | $1.2K | +$38.82 |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | No | 1.23K | $0.717 | $1.16K | +$279.81 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | No | 1.07K | $0.869 | $1.03K | +$100.71 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | No | 963.95 | $0.945 | $919.13 | +$8.28 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 500 | $0.950 | $484.25 | +$9.25 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 500 | $0.949 | $477.5 | +$2.81 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.910 | $460 | +$5 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.507 | $418.75 | -$215.18 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.308 | $393.74 | +$8.75 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 300 | $0.860 | $294.75 | +$36.75 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 656.57 | $0.158 | $216.67 | +$112.62 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30? | No | 164.05 | $0.950 | $159.78 | +$4 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 350 | $0.484 | $159.25 | -$10.25 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | No | 156.42 | $0.953 | $152.98 | +$3.91 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 3K | $0.065 | $147 | -$48.64 |
 Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | Yes | 145.99 | $0.539 | $138.33 | +$59.63 |
| sell |
| 500 |
| $0.330 |
| $165 |
| 14h ago |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.542 | $49.3 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.920 | $1.38K | 17h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | 1d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?No | buy | 164.05 | $0.950 | $155.79 | 1d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.950 | $57 | 1d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.99K | $0.950 | $4.74K | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 750 | $0.830 | $622.5 | 1d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 750 | $0.890 | $667.5 | 2d ago |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No | buy | 388.88 | $0.868 | $337.55 | 3d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.490 | $122.5 | 4d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 1.18K | $0.985 | $1.16K | 4d ago |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?No | buy | 418.56 | $0.945 | $395.5 | 6d ago |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No | buy | 1.38K | $0.901 | $1.24K | 6d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 710.98 | $0.108 | $76.91 | 6d ago |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?No | buy | 430.7 | $0.956 | $411.55 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.230 | $115 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 108 | $0.430 | $46.44 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.800 | $400 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | sell | 1.25K | $0.983 | $1.23K | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 1.29K | $0.900 | $1.16K | 8d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 2.25K | $0.978 | $2.2K | 8d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No | buy | 40 | $0.950 | $38 | 8d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.910 | $1.09K | 8d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?No | buy | 156.42 | $0.953 | $149.07 | 8d ago |
 Situational Awareness Anthropic sale confirmed by August 31?No | buy | 106.68 | $0.992 | $105.82 | 8d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 135.6 | $0.998 | $135.33 | 8d ago |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?No | buy | 56.19 | $0.991 | $55.7 | 8d ago |
 Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?No | buy | 17.76 | $0.990 | $17.58 | 8d ago |
 Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 433.33 | $0.990 | $429.21 | 8d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.900 | $1.35K | 8d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.94K | $0.991 | $2.92K | 8d ago |
| Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.980 | $980.1 | 8d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | sell | 60.81 | $0.993 | $60.38 | 8d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No | buy | 450 | $0.950 | $427.5 | 8d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.028 | $21 | 9d ago |
| Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.971 | $1.13K | 9d ago |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 964.51 | $0.999 | $963.55 | 9d ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | sell | 600 | $0.998 | $598.8 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.946 | $945.74 | 9d ago |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.984 | $1.48K | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.780 | $390 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 429.7 | $0.996 | $427.98 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 750 | $0.780 | $585 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 638.17 | $0.140 | $89.34 | 10d ago |
| Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?No | buy | 191.16 | $0.971 | $185.63 | 10d ago |
| Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?No | buy | 147.55 | $0.967 | $142.64 | 10d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.850 | $1.28K | 10d ago |
| Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?No | buy | 3.02K | $0.957 | $2.89K | 10d ago |