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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 10K | $0.500 | $7.6K | +$2.6K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 146 | $0.680 | $99.28 | 25m ago |
 |
| No |
| 3.19K |
| $0.852 |
| $2.79K |
| +$74.21 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10K | $0.500 | $2.41K | -$2.6K |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? | No | 1.58K | $0.888 | $1.51K | +$104.49 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | Yes | 1.64K | $0.793 | $1.19K | -$112.67 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.23K | $0.860 | $1.05K | -$6.14 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.12K | $0.388 | $899.72 | +$75.66 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | Yes | 1.31K | $0.727 | $897.92 | -$54.73 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? | No | 964.09 | $0.763 | $833.94 | +$98.02 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | No | 892.91 | $0.889 | $808.09 | +$14.61 |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | No | 818.58 | $0.772 | $781.33 | +$148.93 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? | No | 863.75 | $0.790 | $695.32 | +$13.16 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | Yes | 713.62 | $0.718 | $595.87 | +$83.6 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | No | 606.2 | $0.940 | $566.79 | -$3.03 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | No | 686.83 | $0.696 | $532.29 | +$54.3 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | No | 551.75 | $0.930 | $518.65 | +$5.52 |
 SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31? | No | 548.56 | $0.860 | $466.28 | -$5.4 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 508.98 | $0.604 | $447.9 | +$140.43 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 458.98 | $0.956 | $446.13 | +$7.13 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? | No | 514.24 | $0.960 | $441.73 | -$51.76 |
 Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? | No | 449.79 | $0.939 | $437.2 | +$14.7 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 835.36 | $0.330 | $421.86 | +$146.19 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 510.99 | $0.586 | $408.54 | +$108.9 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | No | 687.42 | $0.537 | $388.39 | +$19.27 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 2.46K | $0.252 | $332.19 | -$288.89 |
| buy |
| 89.4 |
| $0.068 |
| $6.08 |
| 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 204.99 | $0.670 | $137.34 | 3h ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 502.16 | $0.091 | $45.69 | 5h ago |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 524.11 | $0.963 | $504.66 | 5h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?No | buy | 546 | $0.239 | $130.59 | 6h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?No | buy | 481 | $0.090 | $43.29 | 6h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?No | buy | 479.1 | $0.540 | $258.71 | 6h ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 752.3 | $0.220 | $165.51 | 6h ago |
 Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.005 | $20 | 7h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 228.47 | $0.860 | $196.48 | 8h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?No | buy | 208.3 | $0.530 | $110.4 | 8h ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.090 | $3.15 | 17h ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 990.78 | $0.090 | $89.17 | 17h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?No | sell | 71.34 | $0.164 | $11.7 | 18h ago |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $75 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 39.98 | $0.290 | $11.59 | 18h ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.220 | $11.88 | 18h ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 359.99 | $0.090 | $32.4 | 18h ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.220 | $24.42 | 18h ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 751.86 | $0.100 | $75.19 | 18h ago |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.270 | $7.83 | 19h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?No | sell | 433.04 | $0.034 | $14.62 | 20h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 237.38 | $0.440 | $104.45 | 20h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 458.98 | $0.956 | $438.99 | 20h ago |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No | buy | 60 | $0.890 | $53.4 | 20h ago |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No | buy | 832.91 | $0.889 | $740.08 | 20h ago |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.570 | $114 | 20h ago |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | buy | 196 | $0.490 | $96.04 | 20h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 201 | $0.758 | $152.36 | 21h ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.540 | $27 | 21h ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?No | buy | 402.11 | $0.850 | $341.79 | 22h ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.159 | $194.93 | 22h ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 2.17K | $0.066 | $143.28 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 522.19 | $0.330 | $172.32 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes | buy | 173.99 | $0.550 | $95.69 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?No | sell | 454.16 | $0.053 | $24.07 | 1d ago |
 OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?OpenAI | buy | 637.88 | $0.166 | $105.95 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?Yes | sell | 227.74 | $0.079 | $18.05 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?Yes | sell | 142.9 | $0.087 | $12.43 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?Yes | sell | 154.94 | $0.089 | $13.8 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?Yes | sell | 155.62 | $0.090 | $14.02 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 835.36 | $0.330 | $275.67 | 1d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?No | buy | 248.96 | $0.173 | $42.98 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | 1d ago |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?Yes | sell | 327.59 | $0.116 | $37.99 | 1d ago |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 303.67 | $0.950 | $288.49 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.425 | $51 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?Yes | buy | 910 | $0.041 | $37.3 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?No | buy | 110 | $0.855 | $94.06 | 1d ago |