Analytics
Yes is at 2.7%, down 20 points from 23% when the market opened on 3 Oct 2026.
Across the 23 daily closes on record from 3 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 23% on 3 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.7% on 29 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.3%. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 13.5% on 4 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?”.
$176.49 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $26.03K since listing. The order book holds $11.88K, with a 2.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 171 trades, $925.86 bought Yes and $7.84K bought No; the largest was a $1.57K buy of No at 78.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Car with 2K shares; the largest No position is GOLADS96 with 2.1K. Ten wallets hold 80.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 3 Oct 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | 23.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 2.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GOLADS96 | No | 2.06K |
| CarVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 2K |
| Violet Vector B233 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if active military personnel officially affiliated with Saudi Arabia enter Yemen for combat-related military purposes by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, they must be 1) officially acknowledged as active military by Saudi Arabia; 2) be publicly acknowledged to have entered Yemen for a combat-related military purpose. For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution they need be active duty and acknowledged as described above. Participation in a combat role is necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes" (e.g. military personnel providing training or intelligence support would not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, however infantry engaging Yemeni forces, or personnel conducting combat operations from Yemeni soil would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution). Only members of the regular armed forces of Saudi Arabia will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. Foreign fighters, private military contractors, mercenaries, or any other personnel recruited, paid, trained, equipped or directed by Saudi Arabia who are not members of the Saudi Arabian armed forces will not qualify, regardless of whether they operate under Saudi command or on Saudi Arabia’s behalf. Members of the armed forces of any other state, including those operating as part of a Saudi-led coalition, will not qualify. Personnel must be physically present on the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Air or naval operations conducted from outside Yemeni territory, including air strikes, missile strikes, drone strikes and overflights, will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia, including the Saudi Ministry of Defense; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/saudi-troops-fighting-in-yemen-by
| No |
| 793.88 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 706.14 |
| nonkenny90 | No | 698 |
| WhateverXYZ | No | 531.91 |
| Inchoroi | No | 500 |
| rainbowlilies | Yes | 306.89 |
| BornAgain26 | Yes | 300 |
| trashtier | Yes | 140 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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