Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 6K | $0.500 | $4.88K | +$1.88K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | 16h ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.21K |
| $0.903 |
| $1.13K |
| +$39.07 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6K | $0.500 | $1.13K | -$1.88K |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.75K | $0.543 | $797.68 | -$154.31 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | No | 490 | $0.949 | $469.91 | +$4.94 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 582.83 | $0.371 | $311.81 | +$95.27 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 350.04 | $0.797 | $306.29 | +$27.19 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 369.66 | $0.677 | $249.52 | -$0.61 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 469.08 | $0.469 | $246.27 | +$26.23 |
 Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 430.27 | $0.581 | $238.8 | -$11.25 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 484.76 | $0.486 | $180.57 | -$55.17 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 300.04 | $0.593 | $157.52 | -$20.5 |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | No | 153.04 | $0.970 | $148.9 | +$0.46 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 909.99 | $0.219 | $145.6 | -$54.12 |
 Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 159.69 | $0.857 | $134.94 | -$1.99 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 180 | $0.484 | $117.9 | +$30.7 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 234.37 | $0.506 | $117.18 | -$1.5 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | Yes | 328.73 | $0.364 | $106.84 | -$12.94 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 300.04 | $0.394 | $105.46 | -$12.85 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | No | 299.99 | $0.347 | $94.5 | -$9.5 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 603.78 | $0.309 | $94.19 | -$92.19 |
 Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? | Yes | 350.55 | $0.248 | $89.39 | +$2.59 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 150 | $0.523 | $89.25 | +$10.75 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.885 | $88.5 | $0 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 291.81 | $0.309 | $83.17 | -$7.12 |
| sell |
| 159.01 |
| $0.330 |
| $52.47 |
| 1d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.240 | $48 | 1d ago |
 Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?Yes | sell | 131.17 | $0.136 | $17.86 | 2d ago |
 Will Shenzhen NINJAS IN PYJAMAS Make the LPL 2026 Split 3 Grand Final?No | buy | 84.85 | $0.987 | $83.77 | 3d ago |
 Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season?No | buy | 2.89K | $0.998 | $2.88K | 3d ago |
 Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?No | sell | 20.7 | $0.940 | $19.46 | 3d ago |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 16.6 | $0.150 | $2.49 | 3d ago |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.993 | $99.29 | 3d ago |
| Will Team WE win the LPL 2026 season?No | buy | 1.56K | $0.999 | $1.55K | 3d ago |
| Will Team WE win the LPL 2026 season?No | buy | 602 | $0.998 | $600.8 | 3d ago |
 Will Xi'an Team WE Make the LPL 2026 Split 3 Grand Final?No | buy | 232.69 | $0.995 | $231.54 | 3d ago |
| Will Team WE win the LPL 2026 season?Yes | sell | 119.34 | $0.010 | $1.23 | 3d ago |
 Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?No | buy | 200.1 | $0.760 | $152.08 | 3d ago |
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?No | buy | 500.77 | $0.750 | $375.71 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.955 | $143.2 | 3d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 315.01 | $0.490 | $154.2 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 260 | $0.952 | $247.51 | 4d ago |
 Iran leadership change by November 30?Yes | sell | 65.54 | $0.080 | $5.24 | 7d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.029 | $11.6 | 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 7d ago |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.120 | $24 | 9d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 384.04 | $0.996 | $382.5 | 9d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.270 | $40.5 | 11d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.320 | $26.56 | 11d ago |
 UFC Fight Night: Liu Ce vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Levi Rodrigues Jr. | buy | 80 | $0.390 | $31.2 | 11d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?No | sell | 37.73 | $0.270 | $10.19 | 11d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)Alex Perez | buy | 90 | $0.350 | $31.5 | 11d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | 11d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.395 | $78.91 | 11d ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 158 | $0.790 | $124.82 | 11d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 267.26 | $0.612 | $163.56 | 11d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 96.04 | $0.130 | $12.49 | 11d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.830 | $166 | 12d ago |
 Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?No | buy | 7.2 | $0.370 | $2.66 | 12d ago |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 10.27 | $0.080 | $0.82 | 12d ago |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.970 | $194 | 12d ago |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Yes | sell | 213.56 | $0.040 | $8.54 | 13d ago |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes | sell | 52.97 | $0.130 | $6.89 | 14d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 669.45 | $0.930 | $622.59 | 15d ago |
 Will Team Spirit Make a Roster Change Before September?No | buy | 12.84 | $0.981 | $12.6 | 16d ago |
 Will valve announce no hero as the new hero at The International 2026?Yes | sell | 771.66 | $0.999 | $770.89 | 17d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?Yes | buy | 9.99 | $0.990 | $9.89 | 17d ago |
| Will valve announce Arjun as the new hero at The International 2026?Yes | sell | 105 | $0.001 | $0.11 | 17d ago |
| Will valve announce no hero as the new hero at The International 2026?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.980 | $1.14K | 17d ago |
 Will 91-95 be the Longest Single Game Duration in The International 2026 (Minutes)Yes | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | 17d ago |
| Will valve announce no hero as the new hero at The International 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.950 | $33.25 | 17d ago |
 Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Yes | sell | 99.39 | $0.005 | $0.5 | 17d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 164.99 | $0.740 | $122.11 | 17d ago |
| Will valve announce no hero as the new hero at The International 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.877 | $35.1 | 17d ago |