Analytics
Yes is at 73.5% on Polymarket.
It is one of 8 markets under “How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?”.
$3.23K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.23K since listing. The order book holds $2.64K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 24 trades, $1.54K bought Yes and $63.28 bought No; the largest was a $1.26K buy of Yes at 68.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Violet Vector B233 with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is AJSV with 1K.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 70 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 7:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 68%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 73.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Violet Vector B233 | Yes | 1.17K |
| AJSV | No | 1.04K |
| GotGreenWood | Yes | 500 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027
| lissartter |
| No |
| 225.17 |
| SuSuDORIS | No | 200 |
| SPLPB | No | 59.93 |
| AiBird | No | 45.05 |
| ghorrock | No | 32.47 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 30 |
| Solar Signal F3B1 | No | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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