Analytics
Yes is at 54.5% on Polymarket.
It is one of 8 markets under “How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?”.
The order book holds $666.59, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 70 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 8:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 54.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027
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