Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 42.42K | $0.524 | $22.27K | +$47.22 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 54.02K | $0.006 | $324.21 | 3d ago |
|
| No |
| 42.26K |
| $0.491 |
| $20.08K |
| -$674.36 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 15.48K | $0.738 | $10.76K | -$658.79 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 17.17K | $0.541 | $9.02K | -$276.5 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 5.33K | $0.872 | $4.86K | +$219.75 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 5.51K | $0.738 | $4.63K | +$566.01 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5.01K | $0.832 | $4.38K | +$214.45 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 4.15K | $0.687 | $4K | +$1.15K |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 3.56K | $0.557 | $2.96K | +$976.2 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 2.99K | $0.356 | $2.78K | +$1.72K |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 2.93K | $0.728 | $2.78K | +$641.83 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 5.23K | $0.558 | $2.56K | -$355.5 |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2.56K | $0.965 | $2.54K | +$72.86 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.33K | $0.910 | $2.16K | +$34.95 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 3.61K | $0.529 | $2.04K | +$131.11 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 2.38K | $0.779 | $1.91K | +$58.88 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.61K | $0.989 | $1.6K | +$1.39 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6.29K | $0.208 | $1.51K | +$206.72 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.7K | $0.848 | $1.45K | +$11.14 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | No | 1.48K | $0.420 | $1.44K | +$822.88 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 4.38K | $0.293 | $1.42K | +$137.91 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 1.57K | $0.728 | $1.16K | +$18.86 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 1.53K | $0.609 | $1.03K | +$101.24 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 1.11K | $0.873 | $957.37 | -$13.96 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 5.69K | $0.193 | $938.72 | -$161.19 |
| sell |
| 92.74K |
| $0.003 |
| $278.21 |
| 3d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 92.74K | $0.001 | $92.74 | 3d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 74.79K | $0.007 | $523.5 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 98.66K | $0.005 | $493.32 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 98.66K | $0.002 | $197.33 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 26.76K | $0.010 | $267.59 | 12d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 24.64K | $0.003 | $73.92 | 12d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 13.72K | $0.004 | $54.87 | 17d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 28.09K | $0.014 | $393.24 | 17d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 55.08K | $0.002 | $110.15 | 17d ago |
 Solana Up or Down - August 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 6 | $0.190 | $1.14 | 21d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 14?No | buy | 15.9 | $0.410 | $6.52 | 26d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 27.39 | $0.170 | $4.66 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 121.16K | $0.005 | $605.82 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 78.73K | $0.016 | $1.26K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 121.61K | $0.009 | $1.09K | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 2?No | buy | 43 | $0.480 | $20.64 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 41.09K | $0.002 | $82.19 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 41.09K | $0.001 | $41.09 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 41.09K | $0.001 | $41.09 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 12.74K | $0.006 | $76.42 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 12.74K | $0.004 | $50.95 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 12.74K | $0.001 | $12.74 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 33.33K | $0.008 | $266.67 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 33.33K | $0.003 | $100 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 33.33K | $0.001 | $33.33 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20.49K | $0.004 | $81.95 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20.49K | $0.005 | $102.44 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20.49K | $0.001 | $20.49 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 23.98K | $0.003 | $71.94 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 23.98K | $0.003 | $71.94 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 23.98K | $0.001 | $23.98 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 42.11 | $0.927 | $39.04 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.060 | $30 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 100.92 | $0.218 | $22 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 500.03 | $0.013 | $6.5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.031 | $15.5 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.013 | $6.5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.012 | $0.6 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.012 | $6 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 500.04 | $0.977 | $488.48 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 500.63 | $0.968 | $484.58 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | buy | 169 | $0.970 | $163.93 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.970 | $484.82 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.969 | $484.5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.969 | $484.5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.969 | $484.5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.969 | $484.5 | Apr 1, 2026 |