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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.17K | $0.989 | $2.16K | +$15.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 1.85K | $0.998 | $1.85K | 9h ago |
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| No |
| 1.73K |
| $0.942 |
| $1.69K |
| +$63.21 |
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.65K | $0.981 | $1.63K | +$18.26 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2.82K | $0.710 | $1.53K | -$470.3 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.55K | $0.901 | $1.37K | -$30.4 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.36K | $0.923 | $1.15K | -$108.53 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.51K | $0.763 | $1.15K | -$5.65 |
Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 999.74 | $0.991 | $991.74 | +$1.12 |
Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 999.61 | $0.976 | $987.61 | +$12.33 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 981.1 | $0.981 | $966.87 | +$4.65 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 765.12 | $0.981 | $756.32 | +$5.68 |
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | No | 751.38 | $0.989 | $739.73 | -$3.32 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 700.18 | $0.987 | $693.53 | +$2.46 |
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 725.32 | $0.913 | $678.18 | +$15.75 |
No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 841.92 | $0.763 | $665.12 | +$22.76 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 618.58 | $0.958 | $602.81 | +$10.44 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 601.56 | $0.993 | $598.85 | +$1.5 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 763.19 | $0.768 | $592.62 | +$6.74 |
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | No | 591.05 | $0.994 | $588.99 | +$1.3 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026? | No | 582.87 | $0.998 | $582.58 | +$0.95 |
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 567.4 | $0.997 | $565.98 | +$0.51 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 608.48 | $0.923 | $564.98 | +$2.99 |
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 557.23 | $0.993 | $552.49 | -$1.09 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 597.69 | $0.819 | $540.91 | +$51.29 |
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 534.56 | $0.985 | $525.21 | -$1.41 |
| sell |
| 291.66 |
| $0.998 |
| $291.08 |
| 8d ago |
Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 270.55 | $0.995 | $269.2 | 8d ago |
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 392.59 | $0.995 | $390.63 | 8d ago |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 464.49 | $0.995 | $462.17 | 8d ago |
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 528.67 | $0.965 | $510.17 | 8d ago |
Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?No | sell | 223.31 | $0.996 | $222.42 | 12d ago |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 287.32 | $0.988 | $283.87 | 12d ago |
Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?No | sell | 333.71 | $0.996 | $332.38 | 12d ago |
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 370.02 | $0.982 | $363.36 | 12d ago |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?No | sell | 361 | $0.998 | $360.28 | 12d ago |
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 170.1 | $0.995 | $169.25 | 12d ago |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 533.22 | $0.951 | $507.1 | 12d ago |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 703.56 | $0.946 | $665.57 | 12d ago |
Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 100 | $0.996 | $99.6 | 12d ago |
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | sell | 630.6 | $0.997 | $628.71 | 12d ago |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 1.3K | $0.976 | $1.27K | 12d ago |
Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 495.25 | $0.993 | $491.78 | 13d ago |
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 110.44 | $0.980 | $108.23 | 13d ago |
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 617.07 | $0.980 | $604.73 | 13d ago |
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 703.2 | $0.997 | $701.09 | 13d ago |
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 157 | $0.996 | $156.37 | 13d ago |
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 14.5 | $0.995 | $14.43 | 13d ago |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 121.5 | $0.998 | $121.26 | 13d ago |
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 592.25 | $0.998 | $591.07 | 13d ago |
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.120 | $3.6 | 13d ago |
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 115.39 | $0.985 | $113.66 | 14d ago |
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1K | $0.985 | $986.86 | 14d ago |
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 949.91 | $0.994 | $944.21 | 14d ago |
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 173.53 | $0.995 | $172.66 | 14d ago |
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 874.94 | $0.998 | $873.19 | 14d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes | sell | 17.97 | $0.015 | $0.27 | 14d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes | sell | 6.14 | $0.015 | $0.09 | 14d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes | sell | 11.44 | $0.015 | $0.17 | 14d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes | sell | 106.77 | $0.016 | $1.71 | 14d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes | sell | 142.75 | $0.016 | $2.28 | 14d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.016 | $0.08 | 14d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.11K | $0.670 | $745.4 | 15d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | sell | 84.57 | $0.991 | $83.81 | 15d ago |
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 784.93 | $0.995 | $781.01 | 15d ago |
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 354.2 | $0.995 | $352.43 | 16d ago |
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 207.66 | $0.930 | $193.12 | 16d ago |
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 594.91 | $0.997 | $593.13 | 16d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.970 | $29.1 | 16d ago |
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 485.6 | $0.998 | $484.63 | 16d ago |
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 427.19 | $0.997 | $425.91 | 16d ago |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 190.82 | $0.945 | $180.33 | 16d ago |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 422 | $0.370 | $156.14 | 16d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 315.43 | $0.995 | $313.85 | 17d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 835.8 | $0.995 | $831.62 | 17d ago |