Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 4.29K | $0.983 | $4.24K | +$23.91 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 3.29K | $0.983 | $3.23K | 10d ago |
|
| No |
| 895 |
| $0.500 |
| $677.07 |
| +$229.57 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 895 | $0.500 | $217.93 | -$229.57 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 127.42 | $0.039 | $112.13 | +$107.18 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 96.84 | $0.300 | $83.29 | +$54.23 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 30 | $0.690 | $26.25 | +$5.55 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.270 | $17.3 | +$11.9 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 6.38 | $0.340 | $5.52 | +$3.35 |
| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.983 |
| $982.68 |
| 10d ago |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.070 | $2.1 | 20d ago |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.460 | $13.8 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Yes | sell | 64.48 | $0.230 | $14.83 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.874 | $17.48 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 59.99 | $0.600 | $35.99 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?No | sell | 30 | $0.820 | $24.6 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.284 | $25.56 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?No | sell | 62.72 | $0.770 | $48.29 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.007 | $0.04 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 5.15 | $0.377 | $1.94 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?Yes | sell | 24.16 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.036 | $0.36 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.040 | $0.2 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.022 | $0.88 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by March 31?Yes | sell | 53.76 | $0.006 | $0.32 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?No | sell | 5 | $0.175 | $0.88 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.024 | $1.44 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 339.96 | $0.004 | $1.52 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 2.31 | $0.600 | $1.39 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.946 | $18.91 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?No | sell | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?No | sell | 20 | $0.727 | $14.54 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.994 | $14.91 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.023 | $2.3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 2.43 | $0.990 | $2.41 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.007 | $2.8 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.013 | $3.9 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.017 | $6.8 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?Yes | sell | 50.1 | $0.110 | $5.51 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?No | sell | 6.66 | $0.998 | $6.65 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?No | sell | 7.67 | $0.944 | $7.24 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.105 | $7.35 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.210 | $12.6 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.153 | $15.3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.39K | $0.010 | $13.9 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?No | sell | 16.12 | $0.982 | $15.83 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Israeli forces enter Beirut by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.972 | $19.44 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.964 | $14.46 | Mar 24, 2026 |