Analytics
Yes is at 13%, down 39 points from 51.5% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 327 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (30 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 57% on 21 Nov 2025 and the lowest 5.5% on 20 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 10%; a month before, 8%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 57% on 26 Nov 2025.
It is one of 11 markets under “Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?”.
$1.11 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $80.45K since listing. The order book holds $269.61, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $665.12 bought Yes and $2.03K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 342 shares; the largest No position is Olcan with 661. Ten wallets hold 30.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 327 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 51.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 13.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Olcan | No | 660.85 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 342.32 |
| randomWalkingShrimp | No | 297.28 |
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027
| legspread |
| Yes |
| 230.42 |
| KimchiCapital | Yes | 219.81 |
| vitalitytens | No | 198.09 |
| ViolentlyTicklish | No | 193.01 |
| h3h393 | Yes | 158.23 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 152.83 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 116.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
