Analytics
Yes is at 7.1%, down 41 points from 48% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 331 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 24 Oct 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 56.5% on 25 Dec 2025 and the lowest 2.3% on 20 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.5%; a month before, 8.4%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 53% on 20 Nov 2025.
It is one of 11 markets under “Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?”.
$47.18K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.05K, with a 7.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $6.44K bought Yes and $15.12K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Tiny-Blowgun with 600 shares; the largest No position is giannisak with 1K. Ten wallets hold 80.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 11:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 331 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 48.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 7.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| giannisak | No | 1K |
| Tiny-Blowgun | Yes | 599.99 |
| Dazzling-Accommodation | No | 514.87 |
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027
| AJSV | Yes | 237.89 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 181.19 |
| vitalitytens | Yes | 176.97 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 143 |
| Bright Vector 2089 | Yes | 138.15 |
| Perypery | Yes | 114.47 |
| macrosteaks | No | 105 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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