Analytics
Yes is at 4%, down 21 points from 25% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 343 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 25 Oct 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 57% on 1 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 19 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4%; a month before, 4%. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 17% on 2 Jan 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?”.
$27.77 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $173.47K since listing. The order book holds $10.63K, with a 2.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 178 trades, $5.65K bought Yes and $74.1K bought No; the largest was a $73.05K buy of No at 93.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Perypery with 250 shares; the largest No position is Krass with 289. Ten wallets hold 68.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 68 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 4:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 343 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 25.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 4.0% |
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027
| okakokak |
| Yes |
| 111.03 |
| Tattered-Hormone | No | 109.96 |
| TheOne777 | No | 105.74 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 100.63 |
| 9df | Yes | 65.49 |
| goyimmustpay | No | 58.14 |
| marikmarakesh | No | 56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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