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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 238.1 | $0.840 | $228.93 | +$28.93 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 109.89 | $0.996 | $109.45 | 17d ago |
 |
| No |
| 114.94 |
| $0.870 |
| $110.4 |
| +$10.4 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 116.28 | $0.860 | $109.3 | +$9.3 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 114.94 | $0.870 | $107.47 | +$7.47 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | 109.89 | $0.910 | $107.14 | +$7.14 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 108.7 | $0.920 | $106.03 | +$6.03 |
 Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 109.96 | $0.909 | $105.56 | +$5.56 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 108.81 | $0.919 | $105.5 | +$5.5 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 109.89 | $0.910 | $103.85 | +$3.85 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 109.89 | $0.910 | $102.75 | +$2.75 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 109.89 | $0.910 | $102.75 | +$2.75 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 106.38 | $0.940 | $102.71 | +$2.71 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 112.94 | $0.885 | $102.21 | +$2.21 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100.59 | +$0.59 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100.53 | +$0.53 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | No | 114.06 | $0.877 | $99.8 | -$0.2 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 116.45 | $0.859 | $91.41 | -$8.59 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 89.29 | $0.560 | $83.48 | +$33.48 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 58.82 | $0.850 | $54.41 | +$4.41 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 116.28 | $0.860 | $43.6 | -$56.4 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes | 102.04 | $0.490 | $6.63 | -$43.37 |
| buy |
| 112.94 |
| $0.885 |
| $100 |
| Aug 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 105.79 | $0.999 | $105.68 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 114.06 | $0.877 | $100 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No | sell | 103.41 | $0.998 | $103.2 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.963 | $60.19 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | sell | 111.22 | $0.998 | $111 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 301.2 | $0.025 | $7.53 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBrazil | buy | 75.76 | $0.660 | $50 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 111.22 | $0.899 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 105.79 | $0.945 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No | buy | 103.42 | $0.967 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 73.53 | $0.680 | $50 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 116.45 | $0.859 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 181.82 | $0.550 | $100 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.230 | $25 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 55.55 | $0.990 | $54.99 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 114.94 | $0.999 | $114.83 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.800 | $50 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | sell | 109.89 | $0.992 | $109.01 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 105.93 | $0.944 | $100 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | May 24, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 120.48 | $0.983 | $118.43 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 55.13 | $0.907 | $50 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.850 | $50 | May 7, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 108.81 | $0.919 | $100 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 113.36 | $0.981 | $111.18 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?No | sell | 107.52 | $0.995 | $106.98 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?No | sell | 114.94 | $0.998 | $114.71 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 303.03 | $0.033 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 377.36 | $0.053 | $20 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 362.32 | $0.069 | $25 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 348.84 | $0.086 | $30 | Apr 14, 2026 |