Latest trade
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 6:26 AM UTC.
Analytics
Tattered-Hormone has made $311.77 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 6:26 AM UTC.
$100 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 42 markets; 74.0% were buys. They run from Apr 21, 2026 UTC to Oct 22, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 238.1 | $0.840 | $227.26 | +$27.26 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | 2d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-01 06:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
24 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 06:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 06:26 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 06:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $963.97 and losing ones cost $42.84 across the latest 50 settled positions. 98% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $240.7 on “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $42.84 on “Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Oct 2026. It has traded 99 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.45K across 24 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 116.28 |
| $0.860 |
| $112.56 |
| +$12.56 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 114.94 | $0.870 | $112.36 | +$12.36 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 112.94 | $0.885 | $110.29 | +$10.29 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 117.65 | $0.850 | $108.82 | +$8.82 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 114.94 | $0.870 | $108.62 | +$8.62 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 109.89 | $0.910 | $108.02 | +$8.02 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 109.89 | $0.910 | $107.42 | +$7.42 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | 109.89 | $0.910 | $107.25 | +$7.25 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 109.89 | $0.910 | $106.59 | +$6.59 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 116.45 | $0.859 | $106.55 | +$6.55 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 108.81 | $0.919 | $106.26 | +$6.26 |
 Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 109.96 | $0.909 | $105.67 | +$5.67 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 108.7 | $0.920 | $105.6 | +$5.6 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 106.38 | $0.940 | $104.68 | +$4.68 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | No | 114.06 | $0.877 | $104.36 | +$4.36 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 106.38 | $0.940 | $101.86 | +$1.86 |
| ECB rate cut in 2026? | No | 104.68 | $0.955 | $99.97 | -$0.03 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 113.64 | $0.880 | $98.3 | -$1.7 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 117.65 | $0.850 | $94.71 | -$5.29 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 89.29 | $0.560 | $84.37 | +$34.37 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 116.28 | $0.860 | $73.84 | -$26.16 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 58.82 | $0.850 | $55 | +$5 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes | 102.04 | $0.490 | $3.47 | -$46.53 |
| buy |
| 104.68 |
| $0.955 |
| $100 |
| Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 57.47 | $0.870 | $50 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 109.89 | $0.996 | $109.45 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 112.94 | $0.885 | $100 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 105.79 | $0.999 | $105.68 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 114.06 | $0.877 | $100 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No | sell | 103.41 | $0.998 | $103.2 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.963 | $60.19 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | sell | 111.22 | $0.998 | $111 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 301.2 | $0.025 | $7.53 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBrazil | buy | 75.76 | $0.660 | $50 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 111.22 | $0.899 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 105.79 | $0.945 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No | buy | 103.42 | $0.967 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 73.53 | $0.680 | $50 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 116.45 | $0.859 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 181.82 | $0.550 | $100 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.230 | $25 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 55.55 | $0.990 | $54.99 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 114.94 | $0.999 | $114.83 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.800 | $50 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | sell | 109.89 | $0.992 | $109.01 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 105.93 | $0.944 | $100 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 120.48 | $0.983 | $118.43 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 55.13 | $0.907 | $50 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.850 | $50 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 108.81 | $0.919 | $100 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 113.36 | $0.981 | $111.18 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?No | sell | 107.52 | $0.995 | $106.98 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?No | sell | 114.94 | $0.998 | $114.71 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.