
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 18.5% on 1 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 27.5% on 18 Apr 2026 and the low 0.1% on 1 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 12.5% on 2 Apr 2026. $20.54M traded over the market's life.
890 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 55 points · 1 Apr 2026 – 1 Jun 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Apr 2026 | 18.5% |
| 1 Jun 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TheQuietRisk | Yes | 789.16K |
| wan123 | Yes | 562.41K |
| RememberAmalek | Yes | 239.34K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify. Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by
| 99problems123 | Yes | 178.68K |
| BrightStars | Yes | 131.58K |
| tetrose | Yes | 90.38K |
| steeplejack | Yes | 83.5K |
| kartz | Yes | 40K |
| starbuck02 | Yes | 30.69K |
| Brokie | Yes | 29.79K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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