Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 56.88K | $0.627 | $38.39K | +$2.7K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Hunter Biden launch a coin by September 30?No | buy | 54 | $0.010 | $0.54 | 2d ago |
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| No |
| 77.06K |
| $0.450 |
| $20.42K |
| -$14.26K |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 13.64K | $0.911 | $12.47K | +$44.95 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 10K | $0.850 | $8.85K | +$350 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 25K | $0.060 | $2.87K | +$1.37K |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 26.81K | $0.301 | $2.28K | -$5.8K |
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 883.19 | $0.140 | $854.49 | +$730.84 |
Deel IPO before 2027? | No | 854.81 | $0.670 | $816.34 | +$243.62 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 48.21K | $0.020 | $723.15 | -$250.06 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 660.4 | $0.665 | $584.45 | +$145.3 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 251 | $0.518 | $239.71 | +$109.6 |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 366.98 | $0.059 | $221.66 | +$200.02 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.63K | $0.743 | $122.48 | -$1.09K |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 475.81 | $0.711 | $38.06 | -$300.47 |
Discord IPO before 2027? | No | 14.63 | $0.236 | $12.5 | +$9.05 |
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 17.76K | $0.002 | $8.88 | -$28.68 |
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 17.17K | $0.001 | $8.59 | -$8.57 |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 11.55K | $0.002 | $5.77 | -$17.31 |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 9.33K | $0.001 | $4.67 | -$4.66 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 42.72 | $0.050 | $2.5 | +$0.36 |
| buy |
| 5.65K |
| $0.310 |
| $1.75K |
| 7d ago |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 11.55K | $0.002 | $23.09 | 8d ago |
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 17.17K | $0.001 | $17.17 | 8d ago |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 9.33K | $0.001 | $9.33 | 8d ago |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 3.64K | $0.942 | $3.43K | 8d ago |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.58K | $0.339 | $4.27K | 8d ago |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.27K | $0.240 | $1.99K | 10d ago |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.240 | $72 | 10d ago |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 10.58K | $0.003 | $31.69 | 28d ago |
Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 77.06K | $0.450 | $34.68K | 28d ago |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | sell | 1.36K | $0.690 | $941.5 | 28d ago |
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | sell | 3.55K | $0.710 | $2.52K | 28d ago |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 942.54 | $0.546 | $514.88 | 29d ago |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.13K | $0.534 | $1.14K | 29d ago |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 3.37K | $0.033 | $111.25 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 13.22K | $0.170 | $2.25K | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 2.21K | $0.040 | $88.3 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.22K | $0.157 | $1.76K | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.84K | $0.140 | $678.16 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.94K | $0.281 | $1.95K | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.89 | $0.279 | $4.43 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 67.66K | $0.070 | $4.74K | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 2.62K | $0.008 | $19.77 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.85K | $0.027 | $50.3 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 564.18 | $0.428 | $241.63 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 30.1 | $0.757 | $22.79 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 325.17 | $0.220 | $71.54 | Jul 27, 2026 |
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | sell | 7.19K | $0.094 | $679.37 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.212 | $217.3 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.96K | $0.136 | $403.38 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 8.68K | $0.017 | $146.76 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 10.33K | $0.007 | $72.28 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10.69K | $0.138 | $1.48K | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 141.37K | $0.038 | $5.43K | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 649.62 | $0.041 | $26.63 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 22.99K | $0.043 | $980.11 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 75.69K | $0.041 | $3.08K | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 22.22K | $0.072 | $1.6K | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 76.86K | $0.071 | $5.46K | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.100 | $7.5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200K | $0.013 | $2.6K | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 492.08 | $0.041 | $20.18 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.039 | $39.47 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 2.78K | $0.059 | $163.32 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 46.86 | $0.981 | $45.97 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 887.44 | $0.038 | $33.72 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 683.34 | $0.055 | $37.58 | Jun 22, 2026 |