Analytics
Yes is at 5%, down 53 points from 58% when the market opened on 20 Nov 2025.
Across the 315 daily closes on record from 20 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 95% on 11 Dec 2025 and the lowest 3.3% on 10 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 7%; a month before, 4.6%. Its largest one-day move was 56 points down, to 27.5% on 19 Mar 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “Kraken IPO by ___ ?”.
$24.08 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $573.8K since listing. The order book holds $2.97K, with a 0.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $897.11 bought Yes and $8.46K bought No; the largest was a $1.33K buy of No at 96.0¢.
The largest Yes position is admsk13 with 13.8K shares; the largest No position is Ray777 with 8K. Ten wallets hold 54.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 7:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 315 points, 20 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2025 | 58.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 5.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| admsk13 | Yes | 13.8K |
| Passionate-Geek | Yes | 9.85K |
| Ray777 | No | 8K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Kraken is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kraken-ipo-in-2025
| KingDingaLing888 |
| Yes |
| 3.72K |
| MaxEnt | No | 3.36K |
| biatchnikka | No | 3.29K |
| WindsonC | Yes | 2.88K |
| Little-Lie | No | 2.2K |
| Hyperlong | No | 2.18K |
| mocamoca | No | 1.76K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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