Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.29K | $0.639 | $3.14K | +$1.04K |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 521.25 | $0.407 | $212.41 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 133.33 |
| $0.150 |
| $4.33 |
| -$15.67 |
| buy |
| 78.13 |
| $0.320 |
| $25 |
| Jun 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5AM ETUp | sell | 7.46 | $0.770 | $5.74 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5AM ETUp | sell | 25 | $0.760 | $19 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5AM ETUp | buy | 32.47 | $0.770 | $25 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETUp | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETUp | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETDown | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETDown | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?No | sell | 5.89K | $0.003 | $18.37 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes | sell | 303.03 | $0.002 | $0.61 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?No | buy | 2.11K | $0.061 | $130 | May 16, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.29K | $0.639 | $2.1K | May 16, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.72K | $0.368 | $1K | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 2K | $0.991 | $1.98K | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 795.77 | $0.992 | $789.4 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.992 | $496.01 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 137.97 | $0.950 | $131.12 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 88.76 | $0.169 | $15 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.360 | $100 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 234.04 | $0.530 | $124.04 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?70k | sell | 16.39 | $0.770 | $12.62 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 55.6 | $0.870 | $48.37 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No | buy | 10.57 | $0.280 | $2.96 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No | buy | 1.71K | $0.293 | $500 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?70k | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 3-9?Yes | buy | 27.45 | $0.729 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 290.6 | $0.879 | $255.46 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 75.03 | $0.855 | $64.15 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.015 | $75 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?Down | sell | 74.07 | $0.999 | $74 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?Down | sell | 74.07 | $0.999 | $74 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?Up | sell | 95.23 | $0.035 | $3.33 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?Up | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?Down | buy | 148.15 | $0.810 | $120 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 1.75K | $0.005 | $8.75 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 750 | $0.070 | $52.5 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 476.19 | $0.014 | $6.67 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1K | $0.080 | $80 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.008 | $40 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.57K | $0.014 | $50 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?Yes | buy | 38.15 | $0.026 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?Yes | buy | 45.8 | $0.022 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.083 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.083 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.25 | $0.083 | $4 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 121.56 | $0.082 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Job" 15+ times during January press conference?No | buy | 117.35 | $0.043 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?Yes | buy | 488.58 | $0.031 | $15 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?No | sell | 1.41K | $0.974 | $1.37K | Jan 28, 2026 |