Analytics
Yes is at 10.5%, down 28 points from 38.5% when the market opened on 26 Aug 2026.
The high was 68% on 25 Sep 2026 and the low 10.5% on 11 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 17.5%; a month ago, 51.5%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 68% on 25 Sep 2026.
March 31, 2027 ranks third of the 4 outcomes in “Kraken IPO by ___ ?”. December 31, 2027 leads at 60%; June 30, 2027 is at 34.5%.
$2.29K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.27K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 39 trades, $575.46 bought Yes and $1.16K bought No.
The largest Yes position is AiBird with 300 shares; the largest No position is MaxEnt with 500.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 12, 11:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 49 points · 26 Aug 2026 – 12 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 | 38.5% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | 10.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MaxEnt | No | 499.65 |
| AiBird | Yes | 300 |
| Keen Horizon 328A | No | 119.55 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the IPO must result in the company's shares being listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading. Filing an S-1 or announcing IPO intentions alone does not qualify. If Kraken is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Kraken and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Kraken; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kraken-ipo-in-2025
| AJSV |
| Yes |
| 77.21 |
| galhammerman | Yes | 60 |
| Malganis | Yes | 50 |
| Extroverted-Numeracy | Yes | 50 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 20 |
| Red-Girlfriend | Yes | 20 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 19.08 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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