Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jun 19, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$1.4M

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jun 19, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 19 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 93.5%. Yes opened at 57.5% on 16 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 16 May 2026 to 19 Jun 2026, the highest close was 93.5% on 19 Jun 2026 and the lowest 57.5% on 16 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 75% on 12 Jun 2026. $1.37M traded over the market's life.

239 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 20, 4:52 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 16 May 2026 – 19 Jun 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	866.67K
kishco	No	56.24K
staarbo	No	21.27K
dada20	No	10K

10 of 239 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).