Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 20 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 20 Mar 2026 to 1 May 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 9.5% on 25 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Apr 2026. $666.92K traded over the market's life.
271 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 4:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 20 Mar 2026 – 1 May 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2026 | 7.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Chandaria | Yes | 19.36K |
| Motherly-Tournament | Yes | 13.35K |
| Shocked-Filter | Yes | 7.96K |
| Fero046 | Yes | 6K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-april-30
| Rude-Platform | Yes | 5.8K |
| pcb897 | Yes | 4.59K |
| Definite-Hostess | Yes | 3.72K |
| Colorless-Payment | Yes | 3.5K |
| yourfriendandy | Yes | 3.08K |
| 7Embers | Yes | 3K |
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