Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 927.65 | $0.225 | $245.83 | +$37.22 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.020 | $39.98 | 20d ago |
|
| buy |
| 1.35K |
| $0.021 |
| $27.93 |
| 21d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | sell | 362.04 | $0.200 | $72.41 | 21d ago |
 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 7.86K | $0.005 | $38.57 | 21d ago |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 18.7K | $0.002 | $37.41 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.040 | $54.03 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.08K | $0.002 | $12.16 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.225 | $449.76 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.043 | $128.06 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Kristi Noem out by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.304 | $333.77 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 New Air Force One in 2025?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | sell | 3.62K | $0.100 | $361.9 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.198 | $198.29 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.29K | $0.097 | $318.74 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.287 | $320.9 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before August?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.191 | $382.87 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?Yes | buy | 109.19 | $0.150 | $16.38 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.210 | $420 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.39K | $0.140 | $194.22 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?Yes | buy | 3.44K | $0.009 | $30.12 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| New Air Force One in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.410 | $409.75 | May 17, 2025 |
| New Air Force One in 2025?Yes | buy | 84.62 | $0.402 | $34.06 | May 13, 2025 |
| New Air Force One in 2025?Yes | buy | 917.79 | $0.120 | $110.13 | May 9, 2025 |
 Australia election results in a hung parliament?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.670 | $1K | May 2, 2025 |
 India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.029 | $39.09 | May 2, 2025 |
 Another Canada election called in 2025?Yes | buy | 715.82 | $0.100 | $71.33 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.086 | $21.4 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.021 | $20.7 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.216 | $215.84 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be greater than 21m?Yes | buy | 490.99 | $0.044 | $21.47 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be greater than 21m?Yes | buy | 370 | $0.070 | $25.9 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be greater than 21m?Yes | buy | 479.38 | $0.096 | $46.24 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Elon Musk confirmed 4chan user SATANZ0Gpo?Yes | buy | 4.02K | $0.019 | $76.2 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Trump imposes 200% tariff on China before June?Yes | sell | 2.45K | $0.180 | $441.5 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Elon Musk confirmed 4chan user SATANZ0Gpo?Yes | buy | 6.57K | $0.015 | $100.76 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.249 | $497.23 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Yes | sell | 1.75K | $0.376 | $657.57 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump imposes 200% tariff on China before June?Yes | sell | 204.59 | $0.160 | $32.73 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Trump x Xi talk by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.018 | $24.84 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Trump imposes 200% tariff on China before June?Yes | buy | 571 | $0.177 | $100.8 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | sell | 642.53 | $0.839 | $538.95 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Trump x Xi talk by Friday?Yes | buy | 2.25K | $0.030 | $67.46 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Trump imposes 200% tariff on China before June?Yes | buy | 727.2 | $0.146 | $106.34 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Trump x Xi talk by Friday?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.100 | $400 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | sell | 300 | $0.850 | $255 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 942.53 | $0.850 | $801.15 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will U.S. GDP growth be between -1% and -2% in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.070 | $73.54 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be greater than 21m?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.084 | $103.68 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 20-21m?Yes | buy | 2.24K | $0.232 | $519.15 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on April 10?Down | buy | 4.16K | $0.044 | $181.68 | Apr 10, 2025 |