Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 24 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 27% on 28 Jun 2026 and the low 0.3% on 16 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 12% on 3 Jul 2026. $1.2M traded over the market's life.
203 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 23 points · 24 Jun 2026 – 16 Jul 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2026 | 24.5% |
| 16 Jul 2026 | 0.3% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by
| Taytaaaaan | Yes | 9.16K |
| Vacant-Sari | Yes | 6.39K |
| Bleak-Jealousy | Yes | 6.2K |
| yuhyuhyuhy352352 | Yes | 5.84K |
| debased | Yes | 5.19K |
| rewrewrewrwe | Yes | 4K |
| GollumGekko | Yes | 3.43K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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