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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 40.37K | $0.348 | $31.69K | +$17.64K |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 4K | $0.950 | $3.8K | 27d ago |
|
| No |
| 10.36K |
| $0.671 |
| $8.65K |
| +$1.7K |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 7.82K | $0.454 | $6.84K | +$3.29K |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 8.06K | $0.413 | $5.8K | +$2.48K |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 7.76K | $0.559 | $5.78K | +$1.44K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 7.16K | $0.085 | $4.76K | +$4.15K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 5.2K | $0.175 | $4.45K | +$3.54K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 14.6K | $0.155 | $2.12K | -$146.84 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 2.12K | $0.143 | $1.94K | +$1.64K |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 12.09K | $0.561 | $1.63K | -$5.16K |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 38.26K | $0.113 | $1.24K | -$3.07K |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 6.07K | $0.252 | $819.53 | -$710.29 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | No | 788.29 | $0.576 | $782.77 | +$328.73 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.01K | $0.370 | $573.39 | -$171.01 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 39.39K | $0.132 | $275.75 | -$4.92K |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 5K | $0.287 | $225 | -$1.21K |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 1.18K | $0.180 | $182.69 | -$29.47 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 519.76 | $0.469 | $106.55 | -$137.15 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 107.35 | $0.313 | $102.52 | +$68.93 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.362 | $95 | -$267.45 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.066 | $71 | -$60.08 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 3.41K | $0.240 | $59.62 | -$757.99 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 360.79 | $0.125 | $38.78 | -$6.45 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 808.54 | $0.118 | $22.23 | -$73.23 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | Yes | 72.51 | $0.639 | $16.31 | -$29.99 |
| sell |
| 5.5K |
| $0.930 |
| $5.12K |
| 27d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 80K | $0.003 | $240 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.330 | $339.8 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 915.87 | $0.760 | $696.06 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.744 | $825.23 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.28K | $0.610 | $1.39K | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9K | $0.327 | $2.94K | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.08K | $0.080 | $646.13 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.41K | $0.066 | $355.09 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 3.5K | $0.428 | $1.5K | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.49K | $0.058 | $258.47 | 27d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 3.32K | $0.240 | $797.01 | 27d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 1.32K | $0.623 | $824.73 | 27d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 9.95K | $0.981 | $9.76K | 28d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 12.71K | $0.026 | $327.54 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.27K | $0.370 | $469.52 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.92K | $0.667 | $1.28K | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.740 | $839.8 | 28d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 622.68 | $0.320 | $199.26 | 28d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.040 | $44.93 | 28d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 24.72K | $0.054 | $1.32K | 29d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.55K | $0.130 | $981.5 | 29d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.180 | $212.16 | 29d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.79K | $0.120 | $815.27 | 29d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 37.43K | $0.050 | $1.86K | 29d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 23.91K | $0.105 | $2.52K | 29d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 565.99 | $0.580 | $328.42 | 29d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 7K | $0.100 | $700 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 7K | $0.920 | $6.44K | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 8.5K | $0.860 | $7.31K | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 3.5K | $0.080 | $280 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 95 | $0.545 | $51.75 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | sell | 20K | $0.003 | $60 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | sell | 50K | $0.003 | $150 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.920 | $1.84K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 5.63K | $0.920 | $5.18K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 248.67 | $0.612 | $152.16 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 3K | $0.820 | $2.46K | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 4.5K | $0.170 | $765 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 10K | $0.080 | $800 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 1.84K | $0.200 | $367.08 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 1.81K | $0.100 | $181.34 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 6K | $0.110 | $657.69 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 3.5K | $0.109 | $381.08 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 1.63K | $0.930 | $1.52K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 3.5K | $0.680 | $2.38K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 535 | $0.156 | $83.45 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 472.24 | $0.730 | $344.74 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | sell | 35K | $0.005 | $175 | Aug 8, 2026 |