Analytics
Yes is at 2.1%, down 38 points from 40% when the market opened on 13 Nov 2025.
Across the 324 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 40% on 13 Nov 2025 and the lowest 2.1% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.9%; a month before, 2.3%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 22.5% on 14 Nov 2025.
$1.06K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $206.2K since listing. The order book holds $13.46K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.66K bought Yes and $18.94K bought No; the largest was a $1.8K buy of No at 97.0¢.
The largest Yes position is yxsj with 5K shares; the largest No position is BLAHBLAHBLAH-298 with 7.4K. Ten wallets hold 56.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 324 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 40.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 2.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BLAHBLAHBLAH-298 | No | 7.38K |
| yxsj | Yes | 5K |
| illumination | Yes | 4.48K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents MicroStrategy. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-announce-bankruptcy-before-2027
| MGB2 |
| No |
| 4.09K |
| andeaxbt | Yes | 2.65K |
| pipishrimp | Yes | 2.03K |
| Grand-Casket | No | 1.99K |
| Wojtek | Yes | 1.8K |
| vacoolaaa | No | 1.71K |
| FATMAN | No | 1.48K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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