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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 8.95K | $0.058 | $1.19K | +$662.92 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.110 | $33 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 5.25K |
| $0.101 |
| $983.52 |
| +$451.94 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.2K | $0.048 | $795.6 | +$308.02 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 8.95K | $0.148 | $671.12 | -$653.82 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 17.74K | $0.032 | $647.64 | +$83.29 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2.35K | $0.229 | $564.21 | +$25.9 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.11K | $0.479 | $557.77 | +$26.08 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 4.1K | $0.184 | $553.36 | -$201.97 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 4K | $0.185 | $499.99 | -$238.87 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 900 | $0.432 | $355.5 | -$33.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 900 | $0.434 | $346.5 | -$44.5 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 1.47K | $0.116 | $338.39 | +$167.74 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | Yes | 3.42K | $0.106 | $291.09 | -$70.57 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | No | 4.5K | $0.044 | $204.8 | +$8.19 |
 ECB rate cut in 2026? | Yes | 4.27K | $0.179 | $192.25 | -$574.94 |
 Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 115.72K | $0.007 | $173.59 | -$698.85 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | $0.127 | $157.5 | -$20.05 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 300 | $0.480 | $145.5 | +$1.5 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 300 | $0.477 | $142.5 | -$0.5 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 876.38 | $0.231 | $127.08 | -$75.25 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6.15K | $0.015 | $119.83 | +$28.47 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | Yes | 899.08 | $0.196 | $116.88 | -$59.33 |
 Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | Yes | 2.55K | $0.075 | $101.92 | -$88.61 |
 Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? | Yes | 8.56K | $0.011 | $94.14 | +$1.73 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 599.99 | $0.133 | $72 | -$7.67 |
| buy |
| 5K |
| $0.001 |
| $5 |
| 2d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | 3d ago |
 Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 957.11 | $0.002 | $1.91 | 3d ago |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | 3d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 45.99 | $0.119 | $5.47 | 4d ago |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 8.23K | $0.001 | $8.23 | 5d ago |
 Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | 5d ago |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | 5d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 506 | $0.002 | $1.01 | 6d ago |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 410.45 | $0.005 | $2.04 | 6d ago |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 1.77K | $0.002 | $3.53 | 6d ago |
 Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 610.47 | $0.004 | $2.46 | 6d ago |
 Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 441.06 | $0.003 | $1.32 | 7d ago |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | 8d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | 8d ago |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.020 | $9.77 | 8d ago |
 Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 2.25K | $0.001 | $2.25 | 12d ago |
| Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 43.33 | $0.021 | $0.91 | 12d ago |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.080 | $24 | 14d ago |
 Does Ox Alpha belong to Mistral?Yes | buy | 549.15 | $0.001 | $0.55 | 14d ago |
| Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 163.27 | $0.005 | $0.82 | 14d ago |
 Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?No | buy | 224.97 | $0.080 | $17.91 | 14d ago |
 Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 2.53K | $0.002 | $5.06 | 15d ago |
| Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 286.1 | $0.005 | $1.43 | 15d ago |
| Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | 15d ago |
| Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 67.15 | $0.002 | $0.13 | 15d ago |
| Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 848.98 | $0.002 | $1.7 | 15d ago |
 Does Ox Alpha belong to Cursor (Anysphere)?Yes | buy | 145.12 | $0.002 | $0.29 | 15d ago |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | buy | 96.48 | $0.080 | $7.72 | 16d ago |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 119.63 | $0.003 | $0.36 | 17d ago |
| Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 20.4 | $0.002 | $0.04 | 17d ago |
| Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.002 | $2.02 | 18d ago |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.110 | $33 | 18d ago |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Yes | buy | 451.68 | $0.100 | $45.17 | 18d ago |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | 19d ago |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | 19d ago |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 13.53 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 19d ago |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 3.05K | $0.001 | $3.05 | 19d ago |
| Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 174.89 | $0.002 | $0.35 | 19d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 576.38 | $0.240 | $138.33 | 20d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | 20d ago |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.964 | $96.4 | 20d ago |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 232.09 | $0.640 | $148.54 | 20d ago |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.002 | $6 | 20d ago |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.026 | $2.59 | 20d ago |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.080 | $40 | 20d ago |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.005 | $2.5 | 20d ago |
| Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 266.29 | $0.001 | $0.27 | 21d ago |
| Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 12.75 | $0.002 | $0.03 | 22d ago |