Analytics
Yes is at 7%, down 40 points from 47% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 329 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 55% on 26 Nov 2025 and the lowest 5.5% on 18 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 13%; a month before, 6.5%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 55% on 26 Nov 2025.
It is one of 11 markets under “Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?”.
$39K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.45K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 411 trades, $6.68K bought Yes and $11.85K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 390 shares; the largest No position is crossx with 170. Ten wallets hold 67% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 329 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 47.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 7.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 390.06 |
| crossx | No | 170 |
| LarBotPrime | No | 135.12 |
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027
| Inconsequential-Centre |
| Yes |
| 100 |
| Kusetus | No | 99.32 |
| ok18capital | No | 87.65 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 85.85 |
| GUINESS123 | No | 77 |
| ineedmassage | No | 75.3 |
| peepeepooppoop | No | 74.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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