Analytics
Yes is at 7.5%, down 27 points from 34.5% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 340 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (17 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 57.5% on 26 Nov 2025 and the lowest 7% on 19 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 7%; a month before, 8%. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 15.5% on 2 Jan 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?”.
$28.16K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.55K, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $219.82 bought Yes and $2.76K bought No.
The largest Yes position is rocky42009 with 258 shares; the largest No position is KrdRL with 234. Ten wallets hold 12.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 340 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 34.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 7.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rocky42009 | Yes | 257.7 |
| KrdRL | No | 233.63 |
| randomWalkingShrimp | No | 201.16 |
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027
| Jade Beacon E3EA |
| Yes |
| 109.66 |
| Coral Vector 91E7 | Yes | 96 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 60 |
| TheOne777 | No | 60 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 59.41 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 59.37 |
| Cobalt Scout 1CBD | Yes | 57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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