Analytics
Yes is at 6%, down 25 points from 31% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 342 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (15 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 58% on 26 Nov 2025 and the lowest 5.5% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 7%; a month before, 8%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 58% on 26 Nov 2025.
It is one of 11 markets under “Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?”.
$62.99K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.34K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $391.54 bought Yes and $2K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Flamboyant-Warming with 464 shares; the largest No position is Olcan with 514. Ten wallets hold 24.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 342 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 31.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 6.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Olcan | No | 513.59 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 463.71 |
| rocky42009 | Yes | 299.4 |
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027
| randomWalkingShrimp |
| No |
| 295.07 |
| LarBotPrime | No | 111.13 |
| peepeepooppoop | No | 91.4 |
| Jonke | Yes | 85.37 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 78.17 |
| Rapid Ledger 628F | No | 71 |
| Buoyant-Wedding | Yes | 69.75 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
